Truthfully, my ability to analyze it gets fuzzy on a very basic level- ie. I cannot get a clear sense of how peppy that convoy is. Yeh, I get that it is long. But lots of them are out of gas and filled with conscripts who were working at Burger King a month ago and may not have had anything to eat or worth eating in the last week. I mean realistically it is to be feared bigly. Just that I don't underestimate their ability to fuck up in some critical area. The Ukranians are outnumbered majorly and in a dire position though.
It's the artillery units being towed in that convoy that are to be feared because - as I said in an earlier post- Russia's style in the past has been to just surround cities- then contain the population- and just chew on the them with artillery fire day after day without getting into any real street to street fighting. Same with their tanks. They position them and just use them as artillery. That obviously is their plan with that mega-convoy if they can get it going. I doubt that they are going to go house to house as in Felujah or something. That is where they are most vulnerable.
I I don;t know, I see their plan, but as I said I don't know how robust they are for the long haul. I can see them shelling the city into oblivion for the first couple days then you start getting reports that they have run out of artillery shells or various small rockets or fuel for their tanks. Then what? Hopefully the then what is the arrival of the equipment being sent - with some highly trained "advisors" from un-named countries and no uniforms. And when I say "advisors" I don't mean Merrill Lynch or UBS if you know what I'm sayin.
"Advisor"
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