Why is Russia's own economic ministry forecasting a 12% recession then?

Russian tourists abroad are starting to complain that there is a new coffee preparation method being used on them - "russiano" - they order a coffee and it is spat into before being served.

German chancellor says many thought the world moved past countries trying to conquer their neighbors but that 'agreement is now canceled by Putin
https://www.businessinsider.com/ola...ea-that-nations-wont-conquer-neighbors-2022-7