No Christmas card for this guy. LOL. I don't know that I'd be as biased as he is in his assessment of the situation, but he's probably more right than wrong in how this turns out. The Ukrainians are fighting the good fight, but are losing ground, tens of thousands are evacuating and the situation continues to deteriorate.
If they map looks the same 10 weeks from now that'll mean the Russians are losing. Highly unlikely. In the end they lose no matter what because occupation will prove to be the quicksand it always turns into for all occupiers. If Putin is smart he negotiates for the eastern territories which are pro Russian anyway, and he's made a statement to NATO that he won't lay down for their expansion. Sure his economy and people will suffer as a result of this, but since when do governments care about the suffering of their people. Look at the shitstorm we have created fighting a fabricated threat just to impose out own authoritarian government polices. Governments gonna government, the people be damned.
If we're stupid, and god knows we Americans win the stupid contest hands down day in and day out, we intervene, Putin goes scorched earth and life as we know it changes bigtime, and it doesn't take nukes to accomplish that, although that a distinct possibility. Just hack the electrical grid, chaos ensues and our Humpty Dumpty system doesn't get put back together again fast enough to avoid Mad Max world.