Rush Limbaugh announces he has 'advanced lung cancer'

you just made my point.
the location of the vote matters when you look at races state by state... not the raw vote totals.

duh?
you get it yet?


Keep hitting refresh!

What's to get? It's not a binary election outcome.

35 Senate seats were up in 2018 vs. 435 House seats. You're really bad at math, Queef. Not the raw vote totals? lol!

You lost the House by a 13% swing. Good work!

8MM more votes for Dems than GOP. Suck it.
 
and democrat turn out in Iowa was terrible.
and you tell us few blacks will vote for pete.
and now Van Jones even tells us the Trump could receive a meaningful percentage of the black votes.

your obviously weak arguments have been exposed as worthless by the new voting season.
I wouldn't bother too much with it, Jem. Theses folks haven't done a proper mid-term vote analysis as we have. They really have no clue.
 
tony is not in the business of analysis.
just look at his most recent post.
he makes meaningless (for this conversations) distinctions because he has departed from the talking posts.

If I were the dnc I would reduce his per post payment down from 35 cents a post.

The good news is for those who put him on ignore soon... he may not be able to change his nick name for a while. He probably needs to get approval which he will not want to seek too soon because it would be strong indication of how useless his content is.

I am pretty sure I will put him on ignore when and if I start a polling thread.



I wouldn't bother too much with it, Jem. Theses folks haven't done a proper mid-term vote analysis as we have. They really have no clue.
 
if the majority of the raw votes were the key factor... how the hell did democrats not regain the Senate.

Dems won 23 of 33 Senate races.Dems won Senate races in Pennsylvania,Wisconsin,Michigan,Nevada,Virginia ,Minnesota ,Arizona and Ohio as well as red states Arizona,WestVirginia and Montana and every blue state race.They won The Senate by 18 million votes.
 
the location of the vote matters when you look at races state by state...
Again, Dems won Senate races in Pennsylvania,Wisconsin,Michigan,Nevada,Virginia ,Minnesota ,Arizona and Ohio as well as red states Arizona,WestVirginia and Montana and every blue state race.

Thats pretty good state by state
 
Again, Dems won Senate races in Pennsylvania,Wisconsin,Michigan,Nevada,Virginia ,Minnesota ,Arizona and Ohio as well as red states Arizona,WestVirginia and Montana and every blue state race.

Thats pretty good state by state
Yeah-----no, it's not

So , as can be seen, The Dem House surplus was largely in states where incumbent House Democrat Senators were running for reelection. In fact, if you add up the states of CA, NY, IL, MA, VA, WA and NJ, you'll see that Dem House surplus in those states was 10.3 million. Trump won none of these states in the 2016 election and still won, so the point about Dems getting 10 million more votes than Republicans has no bearing on the 2020 election. Trump wasn't even on the ballot in these elections. There were Democrat surpluses in the three states than I mentioned PA, WI and MI, but all 3 had Democrat incumbent Senators on the ballot and Mr Trump only needs to win one of those states in 2020 in order to win. --With a lot more Republican Senators up for reelection in 2020 than Democrat Senators, we should see a stronger Republican presence in those states that have those incumbents and this will affect House races as well.
 
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and in case you were unaware... when the president was not on the ballot in 2018,. some of his voters didn't show up...
.
Gop got 40 million votes in 2014.Gop got 50 million votes in 2016.That suggest they did show up.
 
8 million in 2018 does not mean squat in 2020 (most likely)

Different race, different candidates.

The correct questions and the template for analysis is Presidential years.

Do these democrats turn out Obama numbers?

Will Trump turn out the same numbers he did in 2016 or more or less?

Its early... but we we get an indication that there is trouble for democrats at the moment.

2018 is most likely completely irrelevant.


https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/04/iowa-caucus-low-turnout-110674
....
And it wasn’t just the turnout totals that were worrisome for Democrats. It was the makeup of the electorate.

Entrance polls showed first-time caucus-goers down this year, to about one-third of all caucus-goers. That fell lower not only than 2008, when nearly 60 percent of caucus-goers were first-time participants, but also 2016.

It was a deflating acknowledgment for a party that is desperate to register and turn out first-time voters in the fall.
 
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