Do you follow Joe Ross's way of identifying trends
He's published several different ways of identifying trends, in various books, over the decades, and I can never remember which is which, now.
One of Jack Schwager's interviewees describes, in one of the
Market Wizards books, a neat way of identifying a trend, the spirit of which - if not the exact technique - rather encapsulates my own attitude to them: print off the chart on your screen, pin it on your wall and stand ten feet away from it - if you can see a clear trend at that distance, then there is one; if you can't, there probably isn't.
(You can also identify trends for potential Ross-hook-entry purposes by indicators, if you wish. An example: bearing in mind that a trend exists only within a specific time-frame, and that it's normal for an instrument to be trending in one direction within any specified time-frame while either ranging or even trending in the opposite direction in a different time-frame, draw 15-period and 50-period simple moving averages - if the fast one is above the slow one
and both are rising then there's an uptrend within that time-frame; if the fast one is below the slower one
and both are falling then there's a downtrend within that time-frame; if neither applies, then there isn't a trend within that time-frame. And you can even substitute the addition of a "higher time-frame" by adding 60-period and 200-period averages and looking at those two as well, thereby taking only trades that are also in accordance with the "higher time-frame trend", but doing it all on one chart - that's a perfectly workable substitute for the method recommended by Marcel Link in his classic book
High Probability Trading. Ultimately, though, one can take this too far: the more "confirmations" you require, of course, the lower your trading-frequency becomes, albeit with a higher overall strike-rate.)
and his congestion areas while trading hooks?
I avoid trading hooks in congestion, certainly.
And I close trades that run into congestion (I can always re-open the position later, which I then think of as a Volman-style "box breakout").
(page 58 for example at point R- not sure if you have his book).
I do - but not here: my copy is actually in another country at the moment, sorry!
I don't think it's necessary to follow Ross's (or anyone else's) definition of "congestion" to the letter, anyway (I know he describes it in accordance with numbers of bars, and differentiates between "congestion" and "consolidation" this way, too), as long as you know congestion/consolidation when you see them - but this isn't too difficult?
Sorry, probably not a particularly helpful response.
