Romney Looks Like the Next Pres
- Thread starter jem
- Start date
at least this guy is trying to save face. jem, not so much. of course jem has experience being wrong and sticking to it in the face of obvious evidence he is wrong. intelligent design,birtherism,taxes,climate change and now skewed polls. jem is shameless:
Dean Chambers, the man behind âunskewed polls,â a site that attempted to re-weight polls that Chambers thought oversampled Democrats, admitted to his modelâs shortcomings on Wednesday.
âMost of the polls I âunskewedâ were based on samples that generally included about five or six or seven percent more Democrats than Republicans, and I doubted and questioned the results of those polls, and then âunskewedâ them based on my belief that a nearly equal percentage of Democrats and Republicans would turn out in the actual election this year,â Chambers wrote on The Examiner website. âI was wrong on that assumption and those who predicted a turnout model of five or six percent in favor of Democrats were right. Likewise, the polling numbers they produced going on that assumption turned out to be right and my âunskewedâ numbers were off the mark.â
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/11/unskewed-polls-wrong.php?ref=fpb
Dean Chambers, the man behind âunskewed polls,â a site that attempted to re-weight polls that Chambers thought oversampled Democrats, admitted to his modelâs shortcomings on Wednesday.
âMost of the polls I âunskewedâ were based on samples that generally included about five or six or seven percent more Democrats than Republicans, and I doubted and questioned the results of those polls, and then âunskewedâ them based on my belief that a nearly equal percentage of Democrats and Republicans would turn out in the actual election this year,â Chambers wrote on The Examiner website. âI was wrong on that assumption and those who predicted a turnout model of five or six percent in favor of Democrats were right. Likewise, the polling numbers they produced going on that assumption turned out to be right and my âunskewedâ numbers were off the mark.â
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/11/unskewed-polls-wrong.php?ref=fpb
+2, AK, you did a yeoman's job on this front. You gave them fits, then the electorate gave them death.
The American right doesn't just live in a bubble, they live in a bubble inside of a bubble: totally cutoff from reality.Quote from RCG Trader:
+2, AK, you did a yeoman's job on this front. You gave them fits, then the electorate gave them death.
What bothers me is the hand-wringing from some media ninnies on the left wondering if the right will ever get it. WTF!?! Who gives a fuck if the perpetually clueless will ever get it? Let them march their way into complete irrelevancy.
A couple of things. One, Jem is Lawyer? For some reason this really surprises me, given his feelings about things.
Two, regarding this: âMost of the polls I âunskewedâ were based on samples that generally included about five or six or seven percent more Democrats than Republicans....
Polling: You call 1000 Americans, not knowing if they are Rep's or Dem's, the sample is of American voters, likely voters, whatever.
If you find there are more Dem's, then there will be outcomes that show more Democrat leaning, followed by actual voting results. If we conduct polls like Fox or MSNBC, or polling their base, then the results are obviously meaningless.
The larger the polling data, the more varied the incomes, geography, and real factors come into play to make for better polling results.
Never could understand all the skewed polls debates, by definition, if done correctly, a poll should not be skewed. And, in any case, any attempt to UnSkew would be worthless IMO.
Two, regarding this: âMost of the polls I âunskewedâ were based on samples that generally included about five or six or seven percent more Democrats than Republicans....
Polling: You call 1000 Americans, not knowing if they are Rep's or Dem's, the sample is of American voters, likely voters, whatever.
If you find there are more Dem's, then there will be outcomes that show more Democrat leaning, followed by actual voting results. If we conduct polls like Fox or MSNBC, or polling their base, then the results are obviously meaningless.
The larger the polling data, the more varied the incomes, geography, and real factors come into play to make for better polling results.
Never could understand all the skewed polls debates, by definition, if done correctly, a poll should not be skewed. And, in any case, any attempt to UnSkew would be worthless IMO.
you are such a little weasel.
you do not understand science
you do not understand burdens of proof.
1. the evidence we have is that CO2 lags temperture and more recently scientists have stated temperature has not gone up in 15 years. So I have been right about that so far for years. Of course I have never said there is no man made warming just that you have no proof.
any time you wish to prove otherwise... go for it.
2. I simply proved that scientists such as hawkings and many others state our universe appears designed... and then they provide speculative explanations.
3. Obama defaulted in court rather than provide proof of where he was born. I stated you have no proof. If you do provide it.
4. I stated I was wrong about the polls.
If you prove any of above incorrect I will stop posting under this handle.
you do not understand science
you do not understand burdens of proof.
1. the evidence we have is that CO2 lags temperture and more recently scientists have stated temperature has not gone up in 15 years. So I have been right about that so far for years. Of course I have never said there is no man made warming just that you have no proof.
any time you wish to prove otherwise... go for it.
2. I simply proved that scientists such as hawkings and many others state our universe appears designed... and then they provide speculative explanations.
3. Obama defaulted in court rather than provide proof of where he was born. I stated you have no proof. If you do provide it.
4. I stated I was wrong about the polls.
If you prove any of above incorrect I will stop posting under this handle.