Romney Looks Like the Next Pres
- Thread starter jem
- Start date
I believe rassmusen, gallup and others have found that currently more voters identify themselves as R than D.
Which apparently does not surprise pollsters because they many people do not bothering change their party registration even though their allegiance changes and then they self indentify with their candidates party.
Which is part of the reason I have been so dubious about the 2008 template for these polls. That was the high watermark.
I think more Rs than Ds will show up this time.
My thought is not crazy because that is what some of the pollsters find before they skew.
this threads logic is now getting repeated all over...
the power of the pen / keyboard.
Logic will prevail.
note... even as they get the logic we see the same mistake over and over...
a 7 point edge in D over R is more like 20 more Democrats than Republicans. (not 7 percent)
http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/10/28/the-obama-ground-game-myth/
Thatâs something that gets us to the heart of this conundrum about turnout. As Josh Jordan explains in National Review, both Gallup and Rasmussen agree that the partisan split between Republicans and Democrats has changed markedly since 2008. Whereas four years ago the Democrats had a seven-point advantage, this fall that has become a 1 or 2 point Republican edge.
Under those circumstances, itâs difficult to take seriously those polls like the Investors Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll that shows Obama up by one point, since its sample has seven percent more Democrats than Republicans. But even there, there is little to encourage the presidentâs supporters since his numbers have been declining in that poll over the past week. You have to believe along with Obama staffer Jim Messina that their ground game that will produce an electorate that is disproportionately Democratic with more minority and young voters than even in 2008 to think such a result is even possible.
the power of the pen / keyboard.
Logic will prevail.
note... even as they get the logic we see the same mistake over and over...
a 7 point edge in D over R is more like 20 more Democrats than Republicans. (not 7 percent)
http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/10/28/the-obama-ground-game-myth/
Thatâs something that gets us to the heart of this conundrum about turnout. As Josh Jordan explains in National Review, both Gallup and Rasmussen agree that the partisan split between Republicans and Democrats has changed markedly since 2008. Whereas four years ago the Democrats had a seven-point advantage, this fall that has become a 1 or 2 point Republican edge.
Under those circumstances, itâs difficult to take seriously those polls like the Investors Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll that shows Obama up by one point, since its sample has seven percent more Democrats than Republicans. But even there, there is little to encourage the presidentâs supporters since his numbers have been declining in that poll over the past week. You have to believe along with Obama staffer Jim Messina that their ground game that will produce an electorate that is disproportionately Democratic with more minority and young voters than even in 2008 to think such a result is even possible.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/oct/28/curl-dont-mess-cia/
But the CIA wasnât finished with him or the White House. In one last flourish at weekâs end, CIA spokesman Jennifer Youngblood said, âWe can say with confidence that the agency reacted quickly to aid our colleagues during that terrible evening in Benghazi. Moreover, no one at any level in the CIA told anybody not to help those in need; claims to the contrary are simply inaccurate.â
Read more: CURL: You don't mess with the CIA - Washington Times http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/oct/28/curl-dont-mess-cia/#ixzz2AjPdmA9W
Follow us: @washtimes on Twitter
But the CIA wasnât finished with him or the White House. In one last flourish at weekâs end, CIA spokesman Jennifer Youngblood said, âWe can say with confidence that the agency reacted quickly to aid our colleagues during that terrible evening in Benghazi. Moreover, no one at any level in the CIA told anybody not to help those in need; claims to the contrary are simply inaccurate.â
Read more: CURL: You don't mess with the CIA - Washington Times http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/oct/28/curl-dont-mess-cia/#ixzz2AjPdmA9W
Follow us: @washtimes on Twitter
You Romney guys have a selection bias. You are behaving like an investor holding an underperforming stock hoping for a rebound.
Rasmussen has consistently polled Romney ahead across the board. However, the entirety of the data from major pollsters indicates an Obama victory is more likely than a Romney upset.
Rasmussen has consistently polled Romney ahead across the board. However, the entirety of the data from major pollsters indicates an Obama victory is more likely than a Romney upset.
I perform like an analyst who reads the prospectus, I note the huge swing in independents to Romney and that the polls underweight the pro Romney vote. ... you Obama guys perform like a 90s tech internet stock "trader" who listens to investor relations and trades based on the pro formas of companies who do not earn and profits. You just keep buying until we are wiped out.