After being behind most of the year Obama has pulled ahead of Mitt in NC
Romney Looks Like the Next Pres
- Thread starter jem
- Start date
Ohio Slipping From Romneyâs Grasp
Itâs a cliche but itâs true: Itâs extremely difficult for Romney to win the presidency without winning Ohio. But it seems to be slipping out of his grasp. This morning the Washington Post released a poll showing Obama up 8 points in Ohio (52% to 44%). The current PollTracker Average gives Obama a +4.7 margin.
Itâs a cliche but itâs true: Itâs extremely difficult for Romney to win the presidency without winning Ohio. But it seems to be slipping out of his grasp. This morning the Washington Post released a poll showing Obama up 8 points in Ohio (52% to 44%). The current PollTracker Average gives Obama a +4.7 margin.
Time to take VA out of the toss up column
LOL !!!
http://www.examiner.com/article/two...onfirm-major-polls-skewed-against-mitt-romney
âAre these polls an accurate reflection of the race today,â asked LeBoutillier.
Schoen responded, âThe simple answer is no John. The bottom line is there were seven percent more Democrats in the electorate in 2008 than there were Republicans. That's from the exit polls and that's about as accurate as you can get...President Obama won by about seven points. Given 90 percent of Democrats vote for the Democrat and 90 percent of Republicans vote for the Republican, every time you reduce the margin between the parties by one point, roughly it's about one point off the margin.â
Schoen pointed out that the Pew poll was based on Democrats sampled for having an 11 percent voters registration edge over Republicans. He further added, âsaying that America has gotten more Democratic than 2008, which is a questionable assumption.â
Schoen cited the latest Rasmussen poll having a 0.5 percent edge for Democrats over Republicans in voter registration and a four percent lead for Romney in contrast with the surveys that are over-sampling Democrats.
âAre these polls an accurate reflection of the race today,â asked LeBoutillier.
Schoen responded, âThe simple answer is no John. The bottom line is there were seven percent more Democrats in the electorate in 2008 than there were Republicans. That's from the exit polls and that's about as accurate as you can get...President Obama won by about seven points. Given 90 percent of Democrats vote for the Democrat and 90 percent of Republicans vote for the Republican, every time you reduce the margin between the parties by one point, roughly it's about one point off the margin.â
Schoen pointed out that the Pew poll was based on Democrats sampled for having an 11 percent voters registration edge over Republicans. He further added, âsaying that America has gotten more Democratic than 2008, which is a questionable assumption.â
Schoen cited the latest Rasmussen poll having a 0.5 percent edge for Democrats over Republicans in voter registration and a four percent lead for Romney in contrast with the surveys that are over-sampling Democrats.
http://www.examiner.com/article/commentary-the-mainstream-media-polls-are-skewed-for-a-reason
To a limited degree, there was an effort to do this for John Kerry in 2004 when he ran against George W. Bush. The last polls done by many mainstream media outlets showed the race tied or a small lead for Kerry. The exit polls from election day, commissioned by the major news networks, projected Kerry winning in enough states to win the presidency. These exit poll results were leaked, and Kerry's advisers that afternoon were so confident he would in that they started calling him president-elect. But the exit polls were skewed, as they were in 2000, and Kerry's advisers should have remembered that. When the real polls closed and the results came in, Bush won 51 percent to 48 percent in the popular vote and won a majority in the electoral college.
If they can move actual public opinion enough against Mitt Romney and supplement that with a wide perception of Obama leading by skewing the polls, then they are confident they can steal enough votes for Obama to win and make it look plausible and believable. Does that mean the election is fixed and we're going to get a second term of Obama no matter what we do? Of course not.
The more that voters are aware that these major mainstream polls are skewed toward Obama, and see Romney competing well in the very few legitimate polls if they know that those polls are legitimate, the less ability the mainstream media has to sway public opinion, if they have much at all, with the skewed polls.
To a limited degree, there was an effort to do this for John Kerry in 2004 when he ran against George W. Bush. The last polls done by many mainstream media outlets showed the race tied or a small lead for Kerry. The exit polls from election day, commissioned by the major news networks, projected Kerry winning in enough states to win the presidency. These exit poll results were leaked, and Kerry's advisers that afternoon were so confident he would in that they started calling him president-elect. But the exit polls were skewed, as they were in 2000, and Kerry's advisers should have remembered that. When the real polls closed and the results came in, Bush won 51 percent to 48 percent in the popular vote and won a majority in the electoral college.
If they can move actual public opinion enough against Mitt Romney and supplement that with a wide perception of Obama leading by skewing the polls, then they are confident they can steal enough votes for Obama to win and make it look plausible and believable. Does that mean the election is fixed and we're going to get a second term of Obama no matter what we do? Of course not.
The more that voters are aware that these major mainstream polls are skewed toward Obama, and see Romney competing well in the very few legitimate polls if they know that those polls are legitimate, the less ability the mainstream media has to sway public opinion, if they have much at all, with the skewed polls.
http://www.examiner.com/article/commentary-the-mainstream-media-polls-are-skewed-for-a-reason
Just think about the first debate for a moment. Barack Obama, whose campaign and his supporters and super PAC groups have been running some of lowest and sleaziest campaign spots against the former Massachusetts governor, will have to face Mitt Romney in person and likely answer to the target of the sleazy campaign for that campaign. Obama will look very small in many ways, standing on the same stage as Mitt Romney. Then imagine if Romney looked right at Obama and asked, âMr. President can you really stand by that advertisement, and say that you believe I had anything to do with Joe Soptic's wife unfortunately dying of cancer, can you really tell me you believe I should be blamed in any way for that?â Barack Obama can not answer that. He would be instantly destroyed. Debate over. It would blow him away more than Ronald Reagan saying to Jimmy Carter in 1980, âthere you go again.â
Mitt Romney can hold Obama responsible for his failure as president, point out how his leftist liberal policies to not work and have lead to the weakest recovery in history and show that because Obama has no vision for the next four years and can't defend his sorry record, he chooses only to run a negative sleazy, gutter campaign against Romney. Romney can so decimate Obama in the debates and easily have a double-digit lead in the polls a week after the last debate. After the voters make up their minds on this race, Romney could easily be leading and looking forward to a landslide victory.
Just think about the first debate for a moment. Barack Obama, whose campaign and his supporters and super PAC groups have been running some of lowest and sleaziest campaign spots against the former Massachusetts governor, will have to face Mitt Romney in person and likely answer to the target of the sleazy campaign for that campaign. Obama will look very small in many ways, standing on the same stage as Mitt Romney. Then imagine if Romney looked right at Obama and asked, âMr. President can you really stand by that advertisement, and say that you believe I had anything to do with Joe Soptic's wife unfortunately dying of cancer, can you really tell me you believe I should be blamed in any way for that?â Barack Obama can not answer that. He would be instantly destroyed. Debate over. It would blow him away more than Ronald Reagan saying to Jimmy Carter in 1980, âthere you go again.â
Mitt Romney can hold Obama responsible for his failure as president, point out how his leftist liberal policies to not work and have lead to the weakest recovery in history and show that because Obama has no vision for the next four years and can't defend his sorry record, he chooses only to run a negative sleazy, gutter campaign against Romney. Romney can so decimate Obama in the debates and easily have a double-digit lead in the polls a week after the last debate. After the voters make up their minds on this race, Romney could easily be leading and looking forward to a landslide victory.