Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

To anyone. What would be the reasoning to put your polling company's reputation at risk by intentionally skewing your polling numbers? Other than the same old biased media crap, does it make any sense? It would be like making crappy baby carriages for a certain group of the population, knowing full well that it would destroy your business.
 
Quote from mrbill:

Actually, I agree with your premise. Is there anyone here who actually does polling? My understanding is that they make 10,000 calls for example, randomly, and ask questions. How has that changed over the years? I really don't know. Of course we can call around the Stanford zip code, and then the Berkley zip code, and try to skew the results. Is that what you're saying? When I googled random sampling, I saw what seemed to be a straight forward explanation, much as from college. Is there something you think that can help Biased Pollsters get the results they are trying to skew? And, how does coming up with skewed polls help the pollsters. Seems like it would be bad for business.
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that is a much more complex question.
Sure they know how to manipulate their "random" samples... but I am not even getting that deep.

For now I wanted to address the concept of matching the sample to the turnout of likely voters.
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

So if Obama wins will you admit that your line of thinking was wrong and that Rasmussen is a garbage pollster ?
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hell AK just like in other recent election your polls will all adjust their samples to balance a few days before the election and blame momentum and money and call it too close to call.

so at that point will you admit - these are crooked samples?
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Yes but you have to compare apples to apples/ presidential election turn out to presidential election turn out not presidential election turn out to mid terms turn out
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of course... but with the defection from dems and the low dem enthusiasm... I am saying there is no way you will see a turnout like this generations 2008 highwater mark for dems...

(absent a war in the ME) .
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Bush got 62 million votes in 04

McCain got 59 million votes 08



R's got 35 million House votes in 06

R's got 44 million House votes in 2010
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so you saw a 10 million swing up for Obama and 3 millions swing down for McCain.

you think that will happen this time?
Like I said I predict more Rs than Ds will vote this time.
 
Quote from jem:

hell AK just like in other recent election your polls will all adjust their samples to balance a few days before the election
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What polls are you referring to ?NBC/WSJ's 2008s poll samples were consistent in all their polls
 
the polls tightened up a bit more today... the ap poll tighted by 5 or 6 to now showing Obama is up by 1.

Ras - Romney up 1
Gall - Obama up 1.

ras also shows that Romney gained some good ground in some swing states.
 
Quote from jem:

the polls tightened up a bit more today... the ap poll tighted by 5 or 6 to now showing Obama is up by 1.

Ras - Romney up 1
Gall - Obama up 1.

ras also shows that Romney gained some good ground in some swing states.
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still delusional:

The current view of the 2012 presidential election.



Barack Obama Mitt Romney



317 191

Electoral Votes Electoral Votes
 
Quote from atticus:

Hey hey! I bet your ears perked up, but this isn't about you.
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Don't start with your personal attacks again. My agreement to a ceasefire is tentative.
 
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