Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Quote from jem:

we see that NC swung towards national polls with the proper sample sizes and we will see the same in the other states.

That is what pollsters tells us.
This is just a warmup.
Romney is gaining momentum and it is just about guaranteed when the shit polls switch to likely voters as explained in the Huffpo article I cited for you.


The next big threshold is post convention.
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Its not a turn around jem,Rasmussen had him leading since April. Its not a state Obama needs

 
Quote from jem:

we see that NC swung towards national polls with the proper sample sizes and we will see the same in the other states.

That is what pollsters tells us.
This is just a warmup.
Romney is gaining momentum and it is just about guaranteed when the shit polls switch to likely voters as explained in the Huffpo article I cited for you.


The next big threshold is post convention.
More...

Some polls already use likely voters jem



http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/...battleground-states-poll-shows-103942709.html



Obama leads Romney in three battleground states, new poll shows



President Barack Obama holds an edge over Mitt Romney in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll out Wednesday shows.

When likely voters in the three battleground states were asked whom they would vote for if the election were held today, here's the way it broke down:



Florida: Obama, 51 percent; Romney, 45 percent.
Ohio: Obama, 50 percent; Romney 44 percent
Pennsylvania: Obama, 53 percent; Romney 42 percent



No one has won the White House since 1960 without winning at least two of the states. Obama won all three in 2008.

Support for Obama's proposal to increase taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year is 58 to 37 percent in Florida, 60 to 37 percent in Ohio and 62 to 34 percent in Pennsylvania, the survey finds.

Obama is expected to focus on his tax proposal Wednesday during campaign stops in Ohio.

"If today were Nov. 6, President Barack Obama would sweep the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania and — if history is any guide — into a second term in the Oval Office," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The president is running better in the key swing states than he is nationally. Part of the reason may be that the unemployment rate in Ohio is well below the national average. In Florida it has been dropping over the past year, while nationally that has not been the case."

The polls were conducted by telephone from July 24-July 30 among 1,177 likely voters in Florida, 1,193 likely voters in Ohio and 1,168 likely voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.9 percentage points in Florida and Pennsylvania and 2.8 percentage points in Ohio.
 
Since you are citing polls which are D plus 7 to 11.
I created a poll with R over sampled by 10.

The jem reverse balance poll.

Romney leads plus 15.
 
Quote from jem:


Romney is gaining momentum and it is just about guaranteed when the shit polls switch to likely voters as explained in the Huffpo article I cited for you.
More...

8 polls in this chart are from likely voters jem,Obama is winning 5 of them.2 of the likely voter polls Romney is winning is from Rasmussen




 
what were the sample sizes?
no way Romney is down in Florida like that in a real poll. That is one big b.s. poll.


Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Some polls already use likely voters jem



http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/...battleground-states-poll-shows-103942709.html



Obama leads Romney in three battleground states, new poll shows



President Barack Obama holds an edge over Mitt Romney in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll out Wednesday shows.

When likely voters in the three battleground states were asked whom they would vote for if the election were held today, here's the way it broke down:



Florida: Obama, 51 percent; Romney, 45 percent.
Ohio: Obama, 50 percent; Romney 44 percent
Pennsylvania: Obama, 53 percent; Romney 42 percent



No one has won the White House since 1960 without winning at least two of the states. Obama won all three in 2008.

Support for Obama's proposal to increase taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year is 58 to 37 percent in Florida, 60 to 37 percent in Ohio and 62 to 34 percent in Pennsylvania, the survey finds.

Obama is expected to focus on his tax proposal Wednesday during campaign stops in Ohio.

"If today were Nov. 6, President Barack Obama would sweep the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania and — if history is any guide — into a second term in the Oval Office," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The president is running better in the key swing states than he is nationally. Part of the reason may be that the unemployment rate in Ohio is well below the national average. In Florida it has been dropping over the past year, while nationally that has not been the case."

The polls were conducted by telephone from July 24-July 30 among 1,177 likely voters in Florida, 1,193 likely voters in Ohio and 1,168 likely voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.9 percentage points in Florida and Pennsylvania and 2.8 percentage points in Ohio.
More...
 
Quote from jem:

Since you are citing polls which are D plus 7 to 11.
I created a poll with R over sampled by 10.

The jem reverse balance poll.

Romney leads plus 15.
More...

Rasmussen swing state and national polls don't have Romney winning by 15 jem and they are as biased towards republcans as you can get


Romney +2






Rasmussen- Obama + 4

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Rasmussen- Obama + 6

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Rasmussen- Obama + 3

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Rasmussen- Obama + 5

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Rasmussen- Obama + 2

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Rasmussen- Obama + 1

 
exactly my point... honest polls have a evenly split electorate.
In my poll when I give Romney the same boost your crap polls give Obama... Romney goes up by 12 to 15.

you are like hey no way... Romney cant' be up by 15... your sample is off...

but, then you turn around and post.... that CBS quinnipiac poll and other polls that have Dems over sampled by 9 and even 11 points.

Plus 9 Dems by CBS and quinnipiac is as fraudulent as a jem plus 9 R balance poll.
if you object to plus 9 R... you must object to plus 9 Dem.
 
Quote from jem:

exactly my point... honest polls have a evenly split electorate.
In my poll when I give Romney the same boost your crap polls give Obama... Romney goes up by 12 to 15.

you are like hey no way... Romney cant' be up by 15... your sample is off...

but, then you turn around and post.... that CBS quinnipiac poll and other polls that have Dems over sampled by 9 and even 11 points.

Plus 9 Dems by CBS and quinnipiac is as fraudulent as a jem plus 9 R balance poll.
if you object to plus 9 R... you must object to plus 9 Dem.
More...

You're in denial jem.Even when Rasmussen shows Obama winning on a electoral basis you cant accept it.
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

You're in denial jem.Even when Rasmussen shows Obama winning on a electoral basis you cant accept it.In November when Obama wins you will have no choice but to accept reality
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I don't see why you don't let jem have the argument. Nothing to lose.
 
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