Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

[jem]

Exactly... my point. Obama now getting 68% of the jewish vote...
A massive drop from traditional jewish support and the support he got in 08.

That is a vote of no confidence.



http://www.njdc.org/site/page/jewish_vote_for_obama_exceeds_all_expectations


In the four presidential elections between 1992 and 2008 the Democratic presidential nominee averaged 79%.

The Republican Jewish Coalition and other Republican spokespeople were quite confident that McCain would outperform past Republican nominees in the Jewish community. A few even predicted that McCain would surpass the 39% of the Jewish vote that Reagan received in 1980.

The chart below highlights how the national and state polls of Jewish voters progressed over the course of this election.

The bottom line from the 2008 exit poll: Obama 78%, McCain 21%, Other 1%

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

The support is still very strong.Poll is from a jem honest poll





http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.co...-new-poll-shows-jewish-americans-favor-obama/


As Romney heads to Israel, new poll shows Jewish Americans favor Obama


Posted by
CNN's Dana Davidsen


(CNN) – On the eve of Mitt Romney's overseas visit to Israel, a new poll released Friday indicates Jewish Americans favor the president over Mitt Romney by a solid margin.

According to the Gallup survey, 68% of Jewish Americans back President Barack Obama, while 25% support the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.

The numbers follow what some have called a politically timed signing of the U.S.-Israeli security act by the president declaring support for the country before Romney's visit to the Jewish state. Obama signed the bill passed by Congress pledging $70 million to increase U.S. security ties with Israel.

Romney's visit to Israel is part of a three-country foreign policy swing that will take the former Massachusetts governor from London to Tel Aviv on Saturday, then to Poland next week. The Republican candidate is expected to promote a strong alliance between Israel and the United States while meeting with top Israeli officials.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

Exactly... my point.
that means support for Obama is down 11 percent from traditional levels of jewish support from dems.

http://www.njdc.org/site/page/jewish_vote_for_obama_exceeds_all_expectations


In the four presidential elections between 1992 and 2008 the Democratic presidential nominee averaged 79%.

The Republican Jewish Coalition and other Republican spokespeople were quite confident that McCain would outperform past Republican nominees in the Jewish community. A few even predicted that McCain would surpass the 39% of the Jewish vote that Reagan received in 1980.

The chart below highlights how the national and state polls of Jewish voters progressed over the course of this election.

The bottom line from the 2008 exit poll: Obama 78%, McCain 21%, Other 1%

So 1 out of 10 changed their minds but 7 out of 10 Jewish voters still support Obama

Jews are smart people so I will roll with the 7 out of 10 that support Obama rather then the 3 out of 10 who support Romney

 

[jem]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

So 1 out of 10 changed their minds but 7 out of 10 Jewish voters still support Obama

Jews are smart people so I will roll with the 7 out of 10 that support Obama rather then the 3 out of 10 who support Romney

I should have said 11 points which is more that 10 percent, its about 14 %.

you are reading that the wrong way.
Jews traditionally support the Democrat in a big way.
But Obama has been so bad on the economy and on Isreali that he has alienated a large block of the normally no brainer support for dems.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

I should have said 11 points which is more that 10 percent, its about 14 %.

you are reading that the wrong way.
Jews traditionally support the Democrat in a big way.
But Obama has been so bad on the economy and on Isreali that he has alienated a large block of the normally no brainer support for dems.

Try to spin it anyway you like ,7 out of 10 Jews support Obama

 

[jem]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Try to spin it anyway you like ,7 out of 10 Jews support Obama

Correct, significantly lower than expected.

from politico...
http://www.politico.com/politico44/2012/04/twointhree-jewish-voters-back-obama-119467.html


... About a third of American Jews prefer a Republican candidate. Of those that prefer a GOP candidate, 56 percent back Mitt Romney. Among voters who backed Obama in 2008, 86 percent want him reelected – with 7 percent crossing over to support a generic Republican.
Still, a plurality – 35 percent – of Jewish voters rate themselves as “disappointed” with the Obama presidency, while 33 percent rate themselves as “satisfied.” And 46 percent of Obama’s Jewish supporters report that, while they support him, they’re “not excited” about casting a ballot for him.

 

[Ricter]

Quote from jem:

Correct, significantly lower than expected.

from politico...
http://www.politico.com/politico44/2012/04/twointhree-jewish-voters-back-obama-119467.html


... About a third of American Jews prefer a Republican candidate. Of those that prefer a GOP candidate, 56 percent back Mitt Romney. Among voters who backed Obama in 2008, 86 percent want him reelected – with 7 percent crossing over to support a generic Republican.
Still, a plurality – 35 percent – of Jewish voters rate themselves as “disappointed” with the Obama presidency, while 33 percent rate themselves as “satisfied.” And 46 percent of Obama’s Jewish supporters report that, while they support him, they’re “not excited” about casting a ballot for him.

Admittedly, at the present rate of Jewish "cross over" we should see Romney win a majority of their vote sometime in 2015, unless the rate accelerates sharply (in which case Romney would win a majority sometime in 2013).

 

[jem]

Jewish Vote May Not Be Up for Grabs, But Romney Could Get Enough to Beat Obama

http://www.policymic.com/articles/1...abs-but-romney-could-get-enough-to-beat-obama

I believe when you combine the ones that billionaire Adelson and his Isreali newspaper will suppress or swing... Romney has already won over enough.
Adelson is supporting the Romney campaign with extraordinary cash.
We saw Winn Bash Obama... the smart wealth Jewish people outside Hollywood see the choice as Romney or the Muslim Brotherhood.

Obama has lost Dems and Independents in larger numbers plus we will see some of the youth vote stay home and he is seeing and exodus by some jews, soccer moms... now black pastors. I am not sure how the black pastor thing will work out... but the other departures are in the statiscally significant range.


Obama is down by far more than the pollsters with their over sampling of Dems realize.

 

[Lucrum]

Quote from jem:

...Obama is down by far more than the pollsters with their over sampling of Dems realize.

I agree, I'm not confident he's down enough to cost him the election though.

Four more years of the Obamanation sitting on the throne is sickening.

 

[jem]

Quote from Lucrum:

I agree, I'm not confident he's down enough to cost him the election though.

Four more years of the Obamanation sitting on the throne is sickening.

I have heard a few pollsters state the the states trail the national polls.
If that is true... then Romney will win easily.

 

[jem]

The truth is hidden away, but if you scratch the surface of the internet and you apply those facts to polls...

Barring any big change in the world Obama is a one termer.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/06/11/the_tipping_point_114438.html

In 2008, 43 percent of white voters cast their presidential ballots for Sen. Barack Obama. That was more than he needed to win. Today, according to the most recent FOX News poll, 35 percent of white voters say that they support President Obama’s re-election. This is what makes the 2012 presidential election too close to call.

The overriding fear of Team Obama is that the president’s support among white voters will collapse. The math is simple. If Romney gets 65 percent of the white vote (which will likely comprise -- at least -- 72 percent of the electorate) then he gets 48 percent of the total vote. From there, Romney need only get 20 percent of all non-white voters to win by a comfortable margin.


The 2008 presidential election featured Mr. Obama at the height of his political appeal. Black turnout, youth turnout, liberal turnout surged accordingly, padding his victory margin by as much as two full percentage points. His margin was further padded by the lethargy of conservative voters, who were lukewarm to Sen. John McCain.

This time around, the enthusiasm for President Obama among younger voters, black voters and liberal voters has dimmed appreciably. Conservative voters, despite their misgivings about Gov. Romney, are no longer lethargic. They’re fired up and ready to go. Wisconsin added fuel to their fire.