Quote from CaptainObvious:
What the poll shows is that for all the running around with their hair on fire, the Obama administration and their advocates in the media are just spinning their wheels on the Bain issue.
Quote from Ricter:
No, you're probably still wrong about the validity of the samples, but for reasons you do not understand. If you've been lucky, it's bad luck.
Quote from jem:
Ok I will play.
Tell me why I was wrong... about this esoteric science of polling or answer this...
If you are predicting presidential elections.
Please design a valid sample.
1. dems vs res vs Is - please structure you poll. What do you do with leans?
2. Random calls vs regsistered voters vs likely voters
3. landline vs mobile
4. time of day
5. explain how poll results are currently being altered by the large groups of people refusing to participate in private polls.
Quote from tomdavis:
Also...
There are two types of undecided voters: (a) People who say they're undecided ("known undecideds"); and (b) those who say they've decided on a candidate, but then change their minds anyway (aka "unknown undecideds").
In a close election the latter group is a real headache because there's often greater variance within groups (decided/undecided) than between groups (Republican/Democrat) making it difficult for statisticians to get accurate estimates.
The number of "unknown undecideds' is small is some election years and large in others. We'll start to get a picture of this group in September after the conventions (via shifts in "likely voter" polls).
Right now, the November Presidential election is still anybody's guess.
Quote from rompit11:
If a tiger lives in the wild, it might starve , might get sick and die
but IT CAN RAN FREE...
If a tiger lives in the zoo, he will be always full, he will be treated from his illnesses but IT IS LOOCKED IN THE CELL.
This november make up your mind, Ladies and Gentlemens!
Quote from rompit11:
Civilized society?
Do you mean Greece? Germany?
I have many friends there. They are sleeping and dreaming to come to America. Crazy about Kardashians.
Or England with their little stinky apartments and no hope to make decent money?
Free health care is good when you have a flu or break an arm. But if you have cancer you'll get only "approved" treatment. Which means you are going to die pretty much.