Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

Rasmuessen Pres poll was tied for first most accurate in last election.
Almost all your polls have 7 to 11 percent extra dems in their sample.

The poll you are referring to was only 1 poll Jem,I REPEAT IT WAS ONLY 1 POLL while the average of all the polls from your example were correct within 1.7 %







This is the result of 105 Rasmussen polls




http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...rate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/



Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate




Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.

On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.


The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.

 

[jem]

those are not presidential pools. right? different animal.

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

The poll you are referring to was only 1 poll Jem,I REPEAT IT WAS ONLY 1 POLL while the average of all the polls from your example were correct within 1.7 %







This is the result of 105 Rasmussen polls




http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...rate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/



Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate




Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.

On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.


The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

those are not presidential pools. right? different animal.

You supported Rasmussen state polls yesterday



http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=240772&perpage=6&pagenumber=238

Quote from jem:

those states are far closer...

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...our_states/election_2012_the_core_four_states

New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying of Likely Voters in the so-called Core Four states finds that Obama picks up 46% support to Romney’s 43%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

 

[PiggyBank]

Quote from Ricter:

The more people we get back to work, esp. the young, the easier it will be to pay for this.

Why?

 

[Ricter]

Quote from PiggyBank:

Why?

Because they'll have income.

 

[jem]

and most of our polls over sample dems by 7-11 points but you keep acting like Obama is in the lead.


If you wish to be more scientific about this I am fine with that.

but if you going to count up polls and act like that means Obama is winning by a lot... I will post anything I wish as well.

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

You supported Rasmussen state polls yesterday



http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=240772&perpage=6&pagenumber=238

 

[PiggyBank]

Quote from Ricter:

Because they'll have income.

So you meant it will be easier for young people to pay for the cost of obamacare? lol we are going to bear the heaviest financial burden.. our low prems are going to be replaced with that of older, unhealthy people, and even though we don't really need insurance, right.. it is the LAW.

btw what jobs are u speaking of.. more shovel ready ditch digging for BO?

 

[Ricter]

Quote from PiggyBank:

So you meant it will be easier for young people to pay for the cost of obamacare? lol we are going to bear the heaviest financial burden.. our low prems are going to be replaced with that of older, unhealthy people, and even though we don't really need insurance, right.. it is the LAW.

What makes you say you don't need insurance, are you independently wealthy?

 

[PiggyBank]

Quote from Ricter:

What makes you say you don't need insurance, are you independently wealthy?

No i'm not independently wealthy, and shouldn't have said don't need, as in at all. But 20 somethings with no real health issues don't really need full health coverage. A catastrophic type plan (or low prem-high deductible) where if you get smashed by a car, for example, and require expensive coverage - you have it. Aside from standard checkups, i haven't been to a doctor in like 5 years dude, and when I didn't have insurance I just payed my doctor in cash. Not like I'm the perfect picture of health, i have some unhealthy (long term) habits, but insurance for me SHOULD cost less than it would be for someone twice my age and 200 lbs overweight.. right?

 

[Ricter]

Quote from PiggyBank:

No i'm not independently wealthy, and shouldn't have said don't need, as in at all. But 20 somethings with no real health issues don't really need full health coverage. A catastrophic type plan (or low prem-high deductible) where if you get smashed by a car, for example, and require expensive coverage - you have it. Aside from standard checkups, i haven't been to a doctor in like 5 years dude, and when I didn't have insurance I just payed my doctor in cash. Not like I'm the perfect picture of health, i have some unhealthy (long term) habits, but insurance for me SHOULD cost less than it would be for someone twice my age and 200 lbs overweight.. right?

Maybe, maybe not. If you live long enough you will be twice your present age, and you're bound to gain weight, trust me. 200 lbs, yeah, that's extreme. Yes, the problem of how to handle the deliberately unhealthy has been brought up. I wonder how the other advanced nations handle the problem.