Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Quote from jem:

Romney winning 7 out of 13 of RCPs most recent polls.. polls which mostly over sample democrats by huge margins for unknown reasons.




Rasmussen Tracking 6/2 - 6/4 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup Tracking 5/28 - 6/4 3050 RV 46 45 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 895 RV 49 46 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 5/17 - 5/20 874 RV 49 46 Obama +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 5/16 - 5/20 RV 47 43 Obama +4
Rasmussen Reports 5/14 - 5/16 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup 5/11 - 5/17 3050 RV 45 46 Romney +1
FOX News 5/13 - 5/15 913 RV 46 39 Obama +7
IBD/CSM/TIPP 5/9 - 5/16 778 RV 43 40 Obama +3
Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3
CBS News/NY Times** 5/11 - 5/13 562 RV 43 46 Romney +3
Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1
Gallup 5/3 - 5/9 3000 RV 44 47 Romney +3
More...



Rasmussen and gallup are daily polls that should only be count once,the most recent

Obama is leading in the most recent gallup poll and he has lead the majority of may in gallups poll


using the most recent gallup and rasmussen polls it looks like this





Rasmussen Tracking 6/2 - 6/4 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup Tracking 5/28 - 6/4 3050 RV 46 45 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 895 RV 49 46 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 5/17 - 5/20 874 RV 49 46 Obama +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 5/16 - 5/20 RV 47 43 Obama +4
FOX News 5/13 - 5/15 913 RV 46 39 Obama +7
IBD/CSM/TIPP 5/9 - 5/16 778 RV 43 40 Obama +3
Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3
CBS News/NY Times** 5/11 - 5/13 562 RV 43 46 Romney +3
Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1




Obama 6

Romney 4


Obama is also winning by bigger margins + 3 ,+7,+4 ,+3,+3,+1


Romney +1,+3,+3,+1


Obama winning the most recent polls as well.
 
Why is IQ47 so utterly desperate to convince everyone that Obama is winning in the polls?


On a side note. If Obama should lose, will he blame Bush or Romney?

:D
 
Quote from Lucrum:

Why is IQ47 so utterly desperate to convince everyone that Obama is winning in the polls?


On a side note. If Obama should lose, will he blame Bush or Romney?

:D
More...

George Romney?
 
Quote from jem:

Romney winning 7 out of 13 of RCPs most recent polls.. polls which mostly over sample democrats by huge margins for dubious reasons... since polls now identify that there are more republicans than democrats.



Rasmussen Tracking 6/2 - 6/4 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup Tracking 5/28 - 6/4 3050 RV 46 45 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 895 RV 49 46 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 5/17 - 5/20 874 RV 49 46 Obama +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 5/16 - 5/20 RV 47 43 Obama +4
Rasmussen Reports 5/14 - 5/16 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup 5/11 - 5/17 3050 RV 45 46 Romney +1
FOX News 5/13 - 5/15 913 RV 46 39 Obama +7
IBD/CSM/TIPP 5/9 - 5/16 778 RV 43 40 Obama +3
Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3
CBS News/NY Times** 5/11 - 5/13 562 RV 43 46 Romney +3
Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1
Gallup 5/3 - 5/9 3000 RV 44 47 Romney +3
More...


BTW,funny that you would pick 13 to try to make romeny seem to be the winner.if you had picked 10,Obama wins more.Had you picked 15 Obama wins more including those polls that had Obama + 7 and + 8 LOL !!!





Rasmussen Tracking 6/2 - 6/4 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup Tracking 5/28 - 6/4 3050 RV 46 45 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 895 RV 49 46 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 5/17 - 5/20 874 RV 49 46 Obama +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 5/16 - 5/20 RV 47 43 Obama +4
Rasmussen Reports 5/14 - 5/16 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup 5/11 - 5/17 3050 RV 45 46 Romney +1
FOX News 5/13 - 5/15 913 RV 46 39 Obama +7
IBD/CSM/TIPP 5/9 - 5/16 778 RV 43 40 Obama +3
Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3
CBS News/NY Times** 5/11 - 5/13 562 RV 43 46 Romney +3
Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1
Gallup 5/3 - 5/9 3000 RV 44 47 Romney +3
Associated Press/GfK 5/3 - 5/7 871 RV 50 42 Obama +8
Reuters/Ipsos 5/3 - 5/7 959 RV 49 42 Obama +7
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

BTW,funny that you would pick 13 to try to make romeny seem to be the winner.if you had picked 10,Obama wins more.Had you picked 15 Obama wins more including those polls that had Obama + 7 and + 8 LOL !!!
More...

Who cares? You and Jem are both wasting your breath with these up/down polls flip flopping all the time. Wait until the debates come, then post stuff that actually requires us to use more than one brain cell to decipher.
 
Quote from Lucrum:

Why is IQ47 so utterly desperate to convince everyone that Obama is winning in the polls?


On a side note. If Obama should lose, will he blame Bush or Romney?

:D
More...

Actually jem started todays poll discussion.
 
RCP picks most recent 5 --- in the past they had more up there.

Today I pick the most recent 13.


That is the way I am conducting my poll of polls today.
Who is to say my poll of polling technique is incorrect.
We don't seem to follow any sort of polling convention.

If I wish to overcount democrats by 7 to 11 points, why not?

This the wild west of polling bullshit... and today I chose 7 out of 13 most recent.

We will see what I pick tomorrow.





Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Rasmussen and gallup are daily polls that should only be count once,the most recent

Obama is leading in the most recent gallup poll and he has lead the majority of may in gallups poll


using the most recent gallup and rasmussen polls it looks like this





Rasmussen Tracking 6/2 - 6/4 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup Tracking 5/28 - 6/4 3050 RV 46 45 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 895 RV 49 46 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 5/17 - 5/20 874 RV 49 46 Obama +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 5/16 - 5/20 RV 47 43 Obama +4
FOX News 5/13 - 5/15 913 RV 46 39 Obama +7
IBD/CSM/TIPP 5/9 - 5/16 778 RV 43 40 Obama +3
Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3
CBS News/NY Times** 5/11 - 5/13 562 RV 43 46 Romney +3
Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1




Obama 6

Romney 4


Obama is also winning by bigger margins + 3 ,+7,+4 ,+3,+3,+1


Romney +1,+3,+3,+1


Obama winning the most recent polls as well.
More...
 
Quote from jem:

RCP picks most recent 5 --- in the past they pick more.. it was arbitrary.

Today I pick the most recent 13.
Regardless of if they are counted double.

That is the way I am conducting my poll of polls today.
Who is to say it is wrong. We don't seem to follow any sort of polling convention.

If I wish to overcount democrats by 7 to 11 points... who to say I am wrong.

This the wild west of polling bullshit... and today I chose 7 out of 13 most recent.

We will see what I pick tomorrow.
More...

Ok,I'll counter

Obama winning 8 out of last 15

Obama winning 6 out of the last 10

Obama winning 4 out of the last 5

Obama winning polls by as much as 7 and 8.The biggest Romney lead is +3





Rasmussen Tracking 6/2 - 6/4 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup Tracking 5/28 - 6/4 3050 RV 46 45 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 5/29 - 5/31 895 RV 49 46 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 5/17 - 5/20 874 RV 49 46 Obama +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 5/16 - 5/20 RV 47 43 Obama +4
Rasmussen Reports 5/14 - 5/16 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1
Gallup 5/11 - 5/17 3050 RV 45 46 Romney +1
FOX News 5/13 - 5/15 913 RV 46 39 Obama +7
IBD/CSM/TIPP 5/9 - 5/16 778 RV 43 40 Obama +3
Mason-Dixon 5/10 - 5/14 1000 LV 44 47 Romney +3
CBS News/NY Times** 5/11 - 5/13 562 RV 43 46 Romney +3
Wash Times/JZ Analytics 5/11 - 5/12 800 LV 43 44 Romney +1
Gallup 5/3 - 5/9 3000 RV 44 47 Romney +3
Associated Press/GfK 5/3 - 5/7 871 RV 50 42 Obama +8
Reuters/Ipsos 5/3 - 5/7 959 RV 49 42 Obama +7



Obama winning most swing state polls by even more





94832198.png



31372100.png




37295402.png




41181151.png



79009408.png
 
Quote from Tsing Tao:

Who cares? You and Jem are both wasting your breath with these up/down polls flip flopping all the time. Wait until the debates come, then post stuff that actually requires us to use more than one brain cell to decipher.
More...

I plan to post almost daily.

This journal will be a little history... as it shows that before the tax payers got overwhelmed by free loaders they were able to kick the dems out of the main branches of govt in a rout... while the media was still pretending it was going to be close.
 
Quote from jem:

I plan to post almost daily.

This journal will be a little history... as it shows that before the tax payers got overwhelmed by free loaders they were able to kick the dems out of the main branches of govt in a rout... while the media was still pretending it was going to be close.
More...

I think you can prove that without doing a daily update. But if you must update, do you and AK have to argue on the methodology every single day?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top