Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Navin Johnson · Apr 30, 2012

Romney retakes lead in the Gallup poll (4/24-4/29):

Romney 47%, Obama 46%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

Romney leads in Rasmussen tracking poll of likely voters (4/27-4/29):
Rasmussen: Romney 47%, Obama 45%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

These are the two most recent and most credible national tracking polls. They both have had large swings over the last 30 days. The race is on.

murray t turtle · Apr 30, 2012

Maybe;maybe not

Epic · Apr 30, 2012

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

In 2004 Bush won Florida and Ohio but he also won Colorado,New Mexico,Nevada ,Virginia and North Carolina

Even with all those states (which Mitt will not get) Bush only had 286 electoral votes

I still believe that Romney wins Nevada easily. Just watch all the Mormons come into play there.

He likely gets Virginia and North Carolina too, narrowly. He will probably lose NM, and CO, but by very narrow margins.

jem · Apr 30, 2012

I would not expect you to quote this from below the map.
Rove wrote these projections will change and that as the campaign progresses the lean Obama will like got to toss up or lean Romney.

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=241696&perpage=6&pagenumber=1

http://articles.businessinsider.com...a-electoral-map-electoral-votes#ixzz1tXVZgVG5

Karl Rove's Early Electoral Map: OBAMA WINS

Ever since Mitt Romney all but secured the Republican nomination, we were all waiting with bated breath.

Wait no more. Karl Rove has finally put out his inaugural 2012 electoral map. And who's winning?

Barack Obama. Here it is, in all its glory:

You can see there how it breaks down: Right now, 284 votes are either solidly for Obama or "leaning Obama." Romney only has 172 solidly in his grasp or "leaning" toward him. The remaining 82 electoral votes are toss-ups.

What does this mean? Well, first, that Romney has some catching up to do given the gravity of the map he's up against. According to this map, even if Romney wins all the toss-up states of Iowa, Missouri, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Florida â which could be done â he still wouldn't beat Obama.

He would also need to take away some of the states currently leaning Obama. The easiest way to do that would be one of Michigan, Ohio or Pennsylvania.

Basically, what this boils down to: Romney NEEDS to win both Florida and one of Michigan, Ohio or Pennsylvania to win this election.

Ricter · Apr 30, 2012

Quote from jem:

yes ricter we did this already... and when you net them out there were still tax cuts.

Yes, we did do this already, and you admitted that in a dynamic (complex) system there are more variables at play. But I come back from a brief holiday to find you, once again, stating that Tax Cuts = Revenue Increases. < period

AK Forty Seven · Apr 30, 2012

Quote from jem:

I would not expect you to quote this from below the map.
Rove wrote these projections will change and that as the campaign progresses the lean Obama will like got to toss up or lean Romney.

I copied the text from Grandluxe's thread

Romney supporters hope that Romney will turn it around in the coming months .Romneys been running for President since 2006 ,its 2012 and still very few like him .Romney isn't turning anything around,he will never be President

Lucrum · Apr 30, 2012

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

...Romney isn't turning anything around,he will never be President

In Romney's defense, we don't have a real president now either.

atticus · Apr 30, 2012

Quote from Navin Johnson:

Romney retakes lead in the Gallup poll (4/24-4/29):

Romney 47%, Obama 46%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

Romney leads in Rasmussen tracking poll of likely voters (4/27-4/29):
Rasmussen: Romney 47%, Obama 45%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

These are the two most recent and most credible national tracking polls. They both have had large swings over the last 30 days. The race is on.

Romney's binary call lost 60bp ($37.30). Apparently the traders on intrade haven't seen the polls.

AK Forty Seven · May 1, 2012

Quote from atticus:

Romney's binary call lost 60bp ($37.30). Apparently the traders on intrade haven't seen the polls.

They know that Gallup and Rasmussen tampers with their polls and that their poll results flip flops more then Romney and aren't worth shit

sellindexvol66 · May 1, 2012

Rule #1: Its the economy, stupid.

If the economy is perceived to be gaining momentum to election day...Obama wins. If the opposite is the case...Romney wins. Please review rule #1

For me, I loved Clinton.. he knew how to move.