Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

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here is the point of all this for S.A. article. and romney may have just given back a bit of his lead in independents.

The race is close in the polls... but in realty far more Rs. will show up then dems...

why...

Because the economy sucks, and this ME policy is setting up armageddon.
We do not need that in the WH.

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from the article...

But nobody pointed out that whether or not Mitt's 47% stand the test of reality, there are at least 46% of US voters who will vote Republican no matter what. The candidate may be "Dubya" or the billionaire tax-dodging USS Romney; it doesn't matter. Just ask Karl Rove. Or read Craig Unger's recently published Boss Rove (Scribner).

The US is bitterly polarized - beyond repair. That leaves roughly 7% of independents, or undecided, or swing voters, to be courted by both parties. To believe that USS Romney has managed to seduce this crowd after his latest utterances and the surfacing of the fundraiser-video tell-all is to believe in Iraq's weapons of mass destruction (wait; make it Iran's weapons of mass destruction).
 
other than rasmuessn and galllup your polls which have Obama in the lead oversample dems
by as much as O leads or more.

So what you polls are telling us is the if More Rs show up to vote. Romney wins and if more Ds show up Obama wins.

Rs will crush the turnout.
Romney wins.


Quote from AK Forty Seven:

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September 20, 2012

SouthAmerica: The global economy is very bad, but we can use all the entertainment and the laughs that the Republicans can provide to all of us.


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Quote from jem:

other than rasmuessn and galllup your polls which have Obama in the lead oversample dems
by as much as O leads or more.

So what you polls are telling us is the if More Rs show up to vote. Romney wins and if more Ds show up Obama wins.

Rs will crush the turnout.
Romney wins.
More...

When you have to resort to words like oversample and margin of error, then maybe you are in denial.

Jem, I agree that polls are flawed, and I especially think some of the latest showing Obama up by so much in key States are likely incorrect, by a bit, not enough to change the results however. We'll see.
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Every 2008 Pew presidential poll had Obama ahead of McCain From March until election day.Unlike Rasmussen Pew never had McCain ahead in their polls


The 2 polls that had perfect records in 2008 (Pew and NBC/WSJ )have Obama + 5 and Obama +8
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See above, if this is true, and I believe you, how can Jem say there was a tie for correctness, for lack of a better term?
 
Quote from mrbill:

See above, if this is true, and I believe you, how can Jem say there was a tie for correctness, for lack of a better term?
More...

Jem is using the results of a survey that only compared the final polls.While Rasmussen was good with their final poll the survey didn't include all the polls Rasmussen had months before the election with McCain ahead

I bet Rasmussens final poll this year will have Obama ahead as well so they can fool people like jem who forget all the times they had Romany ahead
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Jem is using the results of a survey that only compared the final polls.While Rasmussen was good with their final poll the survey didn't include all the polls Rasmussen had months before the election with McCain ahead

I bet Rasmussens final poll this year will have Obama ahead as well so they can fool people like jem who forget all the times they had Romany ahead
More...

Ok, obviously Rasmussen will post their final poll before the election, do you have any idea of how soon before? Compared to last time around maybe?
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Jem is using the results of a survey that only compared the final polls.While Rasmussen was good with their final poll the survey didn't include all the polls Rasmussen had months before the election with McCain ahead

I bet Rasmussens final poll this year will have Obama ahead as well so they can fool people like jem who forget all the times they had Romany ahead
More...

This is getting really strange... I am not sure if you are lying, or you really do not understand what polls do?

Polls sample the electorate at the time of the poll. you can not judge how accurate they are, until the election. So the only way to judge a poll is the final poll 24 or 48 hours before the vote

For instance if McCain was winning for a while...(and he was until the meltdown) then all the polls you AK cite as accurate -- were actually bad polls.

And note, McCain really was winning for a while.
 
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