Most of your pollsters are liberals, making me not to trust your averages. I like Rasmussen because they focus on likely voters and are very good at what they do. No need for too much detail at this point, imo, the elections are still too far away and the data are too noisy. When we get into October, we'll use their information more.
Romney Looks Like the Next Pres
- Thread starter jem
- Start date
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Probably right;
Quote from murray t turtle:
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Probably right;
Like they were when they had McCain ahead and most of the other polls had Obama ahead
No need to wait that long,the good polls get it right before that.Polls like pew and NBC/WSJ had Obama winning in all their polls from march to election day(while Rasmussen often had McCain ahead)
Breaking News************NEW FOX NEWS POLL...OBAMA + 9 ***************
good polls samples match the expected election turnout.
2010 election was 35D/35R/30I
Fox news poll is
44D/ 35R/ 14I --- that is slated by plus 9 to the D. which is a massive slant.
and on top of that..
30% of the Dems said they were not at all interested in the Presidential race.
24 % of R
33% of I.
so this unlikely to be a sample of likely voters...
2010 election was 35D/35R/30I
Fox news poll is
44D/ 35R/ 14I --- that is slated by plus 9 to the D. which is a massive slant.
and on top of that..
30% of the Dems said they were not at all interested in the Presidential race.
24 % of R
33% of I.
so this unlikely to be a sample of likely voters...
Quote from AK Forty Seven:
No need to wait that long,the good polls get it right before that.Polls like pew and NBC/WSJ had Obama winning in all their polls from march to election day(while Rasmussen often had McCain ahead)
Jem honest polls.
Rasmuessen - Romney plus 4
Gallup - Tie
Romney is picking up states in the state polls
It looks like he picked up about 30 projected electoral votes in the last couple of weeks
its now...
Obama: 247 - Romney: 206 - Toss-up: 85
and
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...al_election/iowa/election_2012_iowa_president
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds Mitt Romney with 46% support to President Obamaâs 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer another candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Rasmuessen - Romney plus 4
Gallup - Tie
Romney is picking up states in the state polls
It looks like he picked up about 30 projected electoral votes in the last couple of weeks
its now...
Obama: 247 - Romney: 206 - Toss-up: 85
and
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...al_election/iowa/election_2012_iowa_president
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds Mitt Romney with 46% support to President Obamaâs 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer another candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Obama winning 17 polls,Romney winning 3
Obama ahead in multiple polls by over 5 points
Obama ahead in multiple polls by over 5 points
Obama winning 17 polls in which the pollsters sample 20 to 40% more Democrats than they should.
Obama tied or losing all the honest polls.
And note in the JEM slanted in reverse poll Romney leads Obama by 14 points.
Obama tied or losing all the honest polls.
And note in the JEM slanted in reverse poll Romney leads Obama by 14 points.
Quote from AK Forty Seven:
Obama winning 17 polls,Romney winning 3
Obama ahead in multiple polls by over 5 points
Obama was losing or tied in many of the Jem honest polls in 2008 as well
