Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

Quote from mrbill:

You have to get real. I've read your analysis of the polling structure, but even so, Romney is screwed this week at least. Things may change, I'll give you that, but right now the stupid You didn't make your business crap, is just crap.
More...

Three reasons you do not know what you are talking about...


1. The 2010 elections came in at 35D / 35 R / 20 I.

The polls which have Obama in the lead use samples which look like this...
45 D / 37 R / 17 I.

They sometimes skew even more to democrats like the most recent NBC poll.

see my cite / link yesterday.

2. On top of that as we get closer to elections, polls switch to registered and then likely voters... again favoring Romney... see Huffpo article I
cited / linked to a few days ago.

3. Finally Democrats may even show up in lower amounts than the current voter self ID rates. They have very low enthusiasm. You think Obama his going to get that much of the unemployed youth vote and soccer mom vote again... no chance.


Democratic Voting Enthusiasm Down Sharply From 2004, 2008
Republicans more enthusiastic than in 2008
by Jeffrey M. Jones
PRINCETON, NJ -- Democrats are significantly less likely now (39%) than they were in the summers of 2004 and 2008 to say they are "more enthusiastic about voting than usual" in the coming presidential election. Republicans are more enthusiastic now than in 2008, and the same as in 2004.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/156194/Democratic-Voting-Enthusiasm-Down-Sharply-2004-2008.aspx
 
Quote from jem:

3 reason you do not know what you are talking about...


1. The 2010 elections came in at 35D / 35 R / 20 I.

The polls which have Obama in the lead use samples which look like this...
45 D / 37 R / 17 I.

They sometimes skew even more to democrats like the most recent NBC poll.

see my cite / link yesterday.

2. On top of that as we get closer to elections polls switch to registered and then likely voters... again favoring Romney... see Huffpo article I
citeed / linked to a few days ago.

3. Finally Democrats may even show up in lower amounts than the current voter ID polls. They have very low enthusiasm. You think Obama his going to get that unemployed youth vote and soccer mom voter again... no chance.


Democratic Voting Enthusiasm Down Sharply From 2004, 2008
Republicans more enthusiastic than in 2008
by Jeffrey M. Jones
PRINCETON, NJ -- Democrats are significantly less likely now (39%) than they were in the summers of 2004 and 2008 to say they are "more enthusiastic about voting than usual" in the coming presidential election. Republicans are more enthusiastic now than in 2008, and the same as in 2004.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/156194/Democratic-Voting-Enthusiasm-Down-Sharply-2004-2008.aspx
More...

So, you would be willing to bet on the election? I will put up $100, $1,000, you name it. Baron will hold it.

Not trying to be an ass, maybe just a gentleman's bet of drinks or something, but I have to go with the facts, and so far, and things may change, I see Obama as a clear winner. And, if Romney continues to talk in Europe and Middle East this week, even more likely.

AK, keep the facts coming, thanks.
 
Quote from mrbill:

So, you would be willing to bet on the election? I will put up $100, $1,000, you name it. Baron will hold it.

Not trying to be an ass, maybe just a gentleman's bet of drinks or something, but I have to go with the facts, and so far, and things may change, I see Obama as a clear winner. And, if Romney continues to talk in Europe and Middle East this week, even more likely.

AK, keep the facts coming, thanks.
More...

Let's make it 200 dollars to an agreed upon charity.
 
Quote from jem:

Let's make it 200 dollars to an agreed upon charity.
More...

Sounds good to me, a fair bet, a good cause, and we can both still be Americans, not haters of each other.

Let me know when to call Baron.
 
Quote from mrbill:

I'm an animal lover, suggest maybe ASPCA? But am open to your thoughts as well.
More...

I am not expert on legit charities but if you lose you can pick aspca... I will pick some sort of kids charity, I am open to suggestions.
 
Quote from jem:

I am not expert on legit charities but if you lose you can pick aspca... I will pick some sort of kids charity, I am open to suggestions.
More...

Kids charities are fine as well. Winner chooses or loser chooses, I'll let you decide, I'm good either way.
 
Quote from mrbill:

Kids charities are fine as well. Winner chooses or loser chooses, I'll let you decide, I'm good either way.
More...

The loser can send his money to aspca or kids charity to be named later.
 
Quote from jem:

The loser can send his money to aspca or kids charity to be named later.
More...

Sounds good to me Jem. We can post the money order or payment receipt.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top