Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

AK Forty Seven · Jul 23, 2012

Quote from jem:

JEM most recent poll list.

Rasmussen Tracking 43 46 Romney +3
Gallup Tracking 46 45 Obama +1

Rasmuessen and gallup around this time in 2008

Max E. · Jul 23, 2012

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Rasmuessen and gallup around this time in 2008

You understand that polls are fluid dont you?

Jimmy Carter was beating Regan up until a couple months before election, how did that work out for him?

The job of a poll is not to predict the end result, its to predict how people would vote if given the choice on the date of the poll, otherwise all they are doing is guessing...... McCain was leading at that point in the 08 election.....

On the plus side for you, Obama is going to get a 2-3 point bump because of the Olympics over the next couple weeks, especially if someone like Phelps comes in and cleans house.... Same thing Happened for Stephen Harper during the winter Olympics in Canada....

Tsing Tao · Jul 23, 2012

Quote from Max E. Pad:

You understand that polls are fluid dont you?

Jimmy Carter was beating Regan up until a couple months before election, how did that work out for him?

The job of a poll is not to predict the end result, its to predict how people would vote if given the choice on the date of the poll, otherwise all they are doing is guessing...... McCain was leading at that point in the 08 election.....

On the plus side for you, Obama is going to get a 2-3 point bump because of the Olympics over the next couple weeks, especially if someone like Phelps comes in and cleans house.... Same thing Happened for Stephen Harper during the winter Olympics in Canada....

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-07-23/poll-romney-obama-economy/56439758/1

USA Today poll has Romney over Obama on the economy, more than 2 to 1.

Since we're obsessed with the latest polls and all.

Max E. · Jul 23, 2012

Quote from Tsing Tao:

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-07-23/poll-romney-obama-economy/56439758/1

USA Today poll has Romney over Obama on the economy, more than 2 to 1.

Since we're obsessed with the latest polls and all.

LOL, im not really because nothing has changed in the last 2 months, but Jem and AK have managed to keep the "Dueling Banjos" going for 250 pages, this is going to be a LONG thread by the time the actual election hits, and there will be lots of ammunition for either side based on previously posted polls come november...

jem · Jul 23, 2012

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

147 million on hand is hardly running out of money.Obamas just fine,Romney needs to out spend opponents 5-1 to win and I doubt that would even help him

at 58 million a month burn rate... and a monthly take lower than Romneys, I guarantee the campaign is stressed.

Remember Obama was to crush opponents with his billion dollar campaign. The national media was hyping that for a long time.

Obama was a fund raising machine. he had social networking. He had big money contributors.

Oops.

AK Forty Seven · Jul 23, 2012

Quote from Max E. Pad:

You understand that polls are fluid dont you?

Yes,not arguing that.When MOST polls consistently has 1 candidate winning and 1 poll (Rasmussen )consistently has the other guy winning that says something is wrong with the 1 poll that has the other guy winning imo

Tsing Tao · Jul 23, 2012

Quote from jem:

at 58 million a month burn rate... and a monthly take lower than Romneys, I guarantee the campaign is stressed.

Remember Obama was to crush opponents with his billion dollar campaign. The national media was hyping that for a long time.

Obama was a fund raising machine. he had social networking. He had big money contributors.

Oops.

It helps to have the taxpayer foot many of the bills. You know, flying all around on Air Force One while campaigning, etc.

Max E. · Jul 23, 2012

So then Scrap Rasmussen, but then you must admit Obama +6 is currently a sham, and what you are left with is a statistical tie.....

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Yes,not arguing that.When MOST polls consistently has 1 candidate winning and 1 poll (Rasmussen )consistently has the other guy winning that says something is wrong with the 1 poll that has the other guy winning imo

AK Forty Seven · Jul 23, 2012

Quote from jem:

at 58 million a month burn rate... and a monthly take lower than Romneys, I guarantee the campaign is stressed.

Remember Obama was to crush opponents with his billion dollar campaign. The national media was hyping that for a long time.

Obama was a fund raising machine. he had social networking. He had big money contributors.

Oops.

Obama is on pace to meet or beat the 750 million he raised in 2008.Team Obama is doing just fine jem

jem · Jul 23, 2012

I pointed out to you... huffington post even stated that as we get closer to election those other polls switch to polling likely voters.

so if the question is should you believe the polls which use the most accurate method... the answer is yes.

your polls with the wacky leads are using wacky methods.

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Yes,not arguing that.When MOST polls consistently has 1 candidate winning and 1 poll (Rasmussen )consistently has the other guy winning that says something is wrong with the 1 poll that has the other guy winning imo