Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

AK Forty Seven · Jul 17, 2012

Quote from jem:

If you have changing polls and a changing race... even the shit polls can get it right once in a while.

you have been spamming shit all day.. not your typical style on this thread.

My posts arent spam at all jem,its previous Rasmussen polls and results showing how wrong they were in the past.

You are right even the shit polls can get it right once in a while which is why you have that 1 survey showing Rasmussen doing well while I have posted a survey of over a 100 Rasmussen polls doing poorly,how poorly their 2102 GOP nominee poll was and how poorly they were in 2008 polls around this time

AK Forty Seven · Jul 17, 2012

Quote from jem:

you took a snapshot back in time and want us to extrapoloate what about the predictive nature of those polls?

If a poll repeatedly predicted poorly in the past why would I expect them to perform well in the future

jem · Jul 17, 2012

Because it was tied for the most accurate national poll and because the HuffPo told you that your shit polls will change its samples to a likely voters sample which is what Rasmuessen and Gallup are doing.

Imagine if your shit polls went to likely voters and a balance between current dems and republicans.

Romney would be up outside the margin for error in almost all of your shit polls.

jem · Jul 17, 2012

The proper time to determine the winner is by taking a look about a week out. (as long as the poll isn't making relatively big shits just before the election to go from corrupt to honest.)

If you got it right a week out ... you were a good poll.
Hence Rasmuessen was tied for most accurate presidential poll.

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

My posts arent spam at all jem,its previous Rasmussen polls and results showing how wrong they were in the past.

You are right even the shit polls can get it right once in a while which is why you have that 1 survey showing Rasmussen doing well while I have posted a survey of over a 100 Rasmussen polls doing poorly,how poorly their 2102 GOP nominee poll was and how poorly they were in 2008 polls around this time

AK Forty Seven · Jul 17, 2012

Quote from jem:

The proper time to determine the winner is by taking a look about a week out. (as long as the poll isn't making relatively big shits just before the election to go from corrupt to honest.)

If you got it right a week out ... you were a good poll.
Hence Rasmuessen was tied for most accurate presidential poll.

Intrade and other polls have good records of picking winners much earlier then that .If a poll only has a good record of picking a winner a week out its a bad poll imo

jem · Jul 17, 2012

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Intrade and other polls have good records of picking winners much earlier then that .If a poll only has a good record of picking a winner a week out its a bad poll imo

intrade really killed it on the Supreme Court decision.
why would a couple of betters in a thin market know more than you or I?

Since we know your shit polls will eventually sample likely voters why don't we confine ourselves to polls which sample likely voters.

We can then confine ourselves to the other variables...

such as proper distribution of Rs Ds and Is.
mobile vs landline etc.

AK Forty Seven · Jul 17, 2012

Quote from jem:

intrade really killed it on the Supreme Court decision.
.

Apples and oranges jem.An election is not a supreme court decision,not what batman will gross this weekend,not who the vp pick will be etc

intrade political election predictions are the best predictor in the business

AK Forty Seven · Jul 17, 2012

Quote from jem:

Since we know your shit polls will eventually sample likely voters why don't we confine ourselves to polls which sample likely voters.

We can then confine ourselves to the other variables...

such as proper distribution of Rs Ds and Is.
mobile vs landline etc.

All i care about are what polls had the best results from past elections.

jem · Jul 18, 2012

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

All i care about are what polls had the best results from past elections.

I would want to know more.

I would want to know how were the accurate polls assembling their samples at the time they turned out to be accurate.

jem · Jul 18, 2012

waiting to see if there is a you didn't build your company bump tomorrow.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 46%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). See tracking history.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe venture capital companies are better than government programs at creating jobs. Most Republicans and unaffiliated voters hold that view but a plurality of Democrats see government programs as the better approach.

Most voters also believe that decisions made by business leaders to help their own businesses grow will do more to help create jobs in America than decisions made by government officials.