Quote from jem:
that internal information is powerful.
We have polls which show a good lead for Romney with Independents.
We have this GWU poll which show the middle class is voting Romney.
We have polls which show Obama has lost 10 to 15 percent of the Jewish vote.
And we have articles which show there has been a mass exodus from the Dems since the 2008 election.
Basically the only thing which keeps Obama in the lead is witchcraft by the pollsters.
Basically the only people still voting Obama are hard democrats...
If you ask 15 to 30 percent more of them than you should.. you can act like Obama is in the lead.
Thesis...
1. the polls are pretending we will have a 2008 turnout.
2. the polls only have 8 percent of the people even participate in the polls.
so of those 8 percent they get to over sample hard ass democrats.
In reality the lack of bumper stickers show... no one is thrilled about this election but many people who voted Obama last time with either not vote or vote Romney.
That is interesting, I haven't seen a single 2012 Obama bumper sticker. That has to be representative of something...