Romney 50%, Obama 43%

[pspr]

It seems Obama's coming out for gays is a big mistake.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 43% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

 

[Brass]

Perhaps this would be an auspicious time for you to place a bet in favor of your candidate.

 

[Tsing Tao]

Atticus, you muppet! Get that C note ready!

 

[Max E.]

I try not to get excited about any given poll, but this one shows Romney +7, and between the 2 polls which show Obama with a big lead, both have a 9% skew for democrats.........

So one poll says Obama is +8 with a 9 point skew, which means Obama -1% or tie

And the Reuters +7 poll is equally egregious, it also shows a 9 point skew.....which means Obama -2%, or tie.

The only polls showing Obama leading at this point have a heavy skew.....

 

[Tsing Tao]

A lot of stuff can happen between now and November. While I think it will simply get worse for Obama, Romney has to not sway from the idea of making it all about the economy. He can't get caught up in all the side distractions like stupid high school behavior and gay marriage.

The economy is the one thing Obama can't run from, and the one thing he'll be spending most of his energy and money trying to run from.

 

[pspr]

Quote from Tsing Tao:

A lot of stuff can happen between now and November. While I think it will simply get worse for Obama, Romney has to not sway from the idea of making it all about the economy. He can't get caught up in all the side distractions like stupid high school behavior and gay marriage.

The economy is the one thing Obama can't run from, and the one thing he'll be spending most of his energy and money trying to run from.

I agree that we have a long way to go (5 1/2 months) but it's a good sign that people are starting to realize how bad Obama really is. I wouldn't have much hope for America if the majority still think the policies put forth by Obama are good for the country.

 

[jem]

Quote from Max E. Pad:

I try not to get excited about any given poll, but this one shows Romney +7, and between the 2 polls which show Obama with a big lead, both have a 9% skew for democrats.........

So one poll says Obama is +8 with a 9 point skew, which means Obama -1% or tie

And the Reuters +7 poll is equally egregious, it also shows a 9 point skew.....which means Obama -2%, or tie.

The only polls showing Obama leading at this point have a heavy skew.....

I was looking for the skew numbers.
Where will I be able to locate them.

 

[Max E.]

Quote from jem:

I was looking for the skew numbers.
Where will I be able to locate them.

It is about half way down the survey on the AP poll, and i was wrong, that one is actually a 12 POINT SKEW.

Here is the link:

http://surveys.ap.org/data/GfK/AP-GfK Poll May 2012 Topline final_2012eln.pdf

The Reuters one is almost at the bottom....and its a 9 point skew....here is the link
http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=11610

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Intrade Obama +23

Associated Press/GfK-Obama +8

Reuters/Ipsos-Obama +7

IBD/CSM/TIPP- Obama +3

 

[377OHMS]

Quote from Max E. Pad:

I try not to get excited about any given poll, but this one shows Romney +7, and between the 2 polls which show Obama with a big lead, both have a 9% skew for democrats.........

So one poll says Obama is +8 with a 9 point skew, which means Obama -1% or tie

And the Reuters +7 poll is equally egregious, it also shows a 9 point skew.....which means Obama -2%, or tie.

The only polls showing Obama leading at this point have a heavy skew.....

Glad someone is mentioning the skew.

The rassmussen result is interesting because Romney's lead exceeds the poll uncertainty. There is a real and measurable lead. The uncertainty is approximately 4%.