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RM's occasional market calls...
- Thread starter Rearden Metal
- Start date
On a Friday afternoon, LAKE is now $10.22 offer. That's close enough to my 'single digits by the end of the month' prediction to close out the trade, declare victory, and go home.
Hey RM,
Any "Occaisonal" calls you see out there? This market is interesting and confusing with SPY up almost everyday and gold weakness.. Any thoughts on gold? I wanted to take a big long at $1000 but not sure if we will get that low now
Hi.... I've been trying to save this thread for my very best predictions and nothing else. If I start trying to force a few marginable trades in here, that would only work to water down my record which is something like 25 wins/1 loss in this thread by now. It's been over a year now since I saw the last big opportunity on either side of the gold trade, and I don't expect gold to do anything especially interesting for a long time going forward. In fact, if the options had higher IV, I'd be looking at some sort of short-straddle (short volatility) trade. As it is, I'm leaving gold alone for now and looking for more predictable opportunities.
RM,
Thought you might be interested in this article. Hope all is well with you.
It is either the most exciting new treatment for depression in years or it is a hallucinogenic club drug that is wrongly being dispensed to desperate patients in a growing number of clinics around the country.
It is called ketamine — or Special K, in street parlance.
While it has been used as an anesthetic for decades, small studies at prestigious medical centers like Yale, Mount Sinai and the National Institute of Mental Health suggest it can relieve depression in many people who are not helped by widely used conventional antidepressants like Prozac or Lexapro.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/10/b...d-concerns-as-a-treatment-for-depression.html
Thought you might be interested in this article. Hope all is well with you.
It is either the most exciting new treatment for depression in years or it is a hallucinogenic club drug that is wrongly being dispensed to desperate patients in a growing number of clinics around the country.
It is called ketamine — or Special K, in street parlance.
While it has been used as an anesthetic for decades, small studies at prestigious medical centers like Yale, Mount Sinai and the National Institute of Mental Health suggest it can relieve depression in many people who are not helped by widely used conventional antidepressants like Prozac or Lexapro.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/10/b...d-concerns-as-a-treatment-for-depression.html
Long March ES right here, 2036.75 offer.
I'll exit the trade sometime next week, regardless of how this goes.
And thanks for the article Arnie. I really used to be into needlessly over-sharing personal details with quixotic idealistic goals in mind. That's one trait I'm glad to have matured out of.
And thanks for the article Arnie. I really used to be into needlessly over-sharing personal details with quixotic idealistic goals in mind. That's one trait I'm glad to have matured out of.
I'm taking the loss, because an open this ugly has the potential to get so much worse before it gets better. I'm out of my own position... currently trading at 2024.25
DYAX is massively over-valued at this point (current price:$29), so here's a new trade I'm confident enough to post here: DYAX May bear spread: Long DYAX May 25 puts @ $0.80, short DYAX May 22.5 puts @ 0.35. So risking $0.45 to potentially make $2.05. I reserve the right to do two things going forward:
1) If this stock takes its time in coming back down to earth, I reserve the right to roll it forward (just once) about one month from now.
2) If DYAX over-inflates to even higher levels, I reserve the right to average-up/size up.
1) If this stock takes its time in coming back down to earth, I reserve the right to roll it forward (just once) about one month from now.
2) If DYAX over-inflates to even higher levels, I reserve the right to average-up/size up.