Quote from Arjun1:
RM - you're a genius, but I see one huge flaw in your approach to markets.
I recognize it in you because I've seen it in myself.
And it is this: you have a bearish bias.
I did too mainly because my career was born in a bear market (post 2000). And because I've witness two ridiculously overvalued bull markets followed by two massive bear markets.
I'm now a long only player as I see no point missing 100% plus moves out fear/greed related to the 10-20% reactions which are just noise in the long run.
A taper-tantrum may produce a 10% correction however I see a supermassive profits driven bull market ahead.
Corporate America (which trades on the exchanges) is completely different than Political America (residing in washington) and often people allow pessimism about the later to influence their opinion about the former.
Corporate America is the most efficient profit making machine in all of human history.