RM's occasional market calls...
- Thread starter Rearden Metal
- Start date
more the merrier. I just thought if you have a team of 5 people going over the net, its feasible to find 20 guys rather than 100 guys. To find these 20 only, they will need to go through maybe 500 guys and follow them for sometime. So, its a lot of work.
If you just pick up a lot, quality might get compromised, resulting into that post slippage, delay and comms, there are no net profits.
thinking aloud -- its your idea so you might have done more thinking than i could manage to do in last 5 minutes.
Our own marketsurfy has really been layin' on the negative trades! He may have peaked tho'- he's bound to start getting a couple right eventually, just from the "law of large numbers"!
On second thought, perma-bulls/perma-bears may have some use as a fade after all, on the strict condition that they habitually call out their exit way too soon whenever the trade finally goes their way.
I decided to just exit that one. I was looking for a retest of $142 and decided that that wasn't going to happen. I exited at $2.30 a share for a loss of around $1,400, which leaves me with a profit of around $11,275 for the two trades. I'm just going to sit back and see how things shake out for the rest of the day and maybe get back in on the short on Monday.
Grease up the sluts, because I think we're gonna be golden on this one! The only reason I'm the only trader pointing out this trade, is because all the others who figured it out have the sense to know that <i><b>the game is to be sold, not told</i></b>...
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/t-sell-home-automation-security-040228318.html
AT&T to sell home automation, security packages
AT&T to sell 'Digital Life' home automation and security packages in 15 markets
EW YORK (AP) -- AT&T Inc. is launching its home security and automation service in 15 cities Friday, with an eye toward getting customers hooked on security cameras, thermostats and locks they can control from phones and tablets.
AT&T's "Digital Life" packages will be sold in cellphone stores in markets including Los Angeles, Chicago, San Francisco and Miami. The company plans to roll the offering out to 50 markets by the end of the year.
The home monitoring and automation field is dominated by security firms such as ADT Corp. Other phone and cable companies sell security packages, but AT&T is going further than competitors by developing its own technology and selling it nationwide, not just where it provides local phone service. It has set up monitoring centers, in Dallas and Atlanta.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/t-sell-home-automation-security-040228318.html
AT&T to sell home automation, security packages
AT&T to sell 'Digital Life' home automation and security packages in 15 markets
EW YORK (AP) -- AT&T Inc. is launching its home security and automation service in 15 cities Friday, with an eye toward getting customers hooked on security cameras, thermostats and locks they can control from phones and tablets.
AT&T's "Digital Life" packages will be sold in cellphone stores in markets including Los Angeles, Chicago, San Francisco and Miami. The company plans to roll the offering out to 50 markets by the end of the year.
The home monitoring and automation field is dominated by security firms such as ADT Corp. Other phone and cable companies sell security packages, but AT&T is going further than competitors by developing its own technology and selling it nationwide, not just where it provides local phone service. It has set up monitoring centers, in Dallas and Atlanta.
BTW, I only still talk like that out of habit, and because it's funny. In reality, hot young sluts no longer play a big role in my life. I'm 38 now, and very cool with my wife. At some point a guy usually grows out of his aggressively-seeking-sluts phase.
So it looks like I started building my gold bear positions a bit too early. I've already lightened up on these, and unless we get a big selloff today, I will lighten up (or hedge) even more. The time and price to get short gold is later and higher, it seems...
ADT earnings on Wed. before the open. There is always the chance we could get lucky and have them guide future earnings lower due to the sudden increase in competition. Who knows what the board is thinking at this point? Bud Fox and his inside info tips would come in handy right about now... not that I'd ever do anything illegal, of course.
If you feel like risking about two bucks to make just one, there's the June 48/44 ADT bear put spreads I just put on. R/R ratio may suck, but I still like the trade. (Filled at $2.55 debit, so it's really more like risking $2.55 to make $1.45.)
Edit: Deep thoughts on ADT: While the merger risk is still there, I like that there is no short-squeeze risk. Only 3.7% of the float was held short as of Apr. 15th. Interestingly, that's a significant jump from the previously listed short-interest, which was about 2.3% IIRC. In other words, it is now confirmed that someone out there with real size is putting on a similar trade to mine. (Or multiple 'someones')
If you feel like risking about two bucks to make just one, there's the June 48/44 ADT bear put spreads I just put on. R/R ratio may suck, but I still like the trade. (Filled at $2.55 debit, so it's really more like risking $2.55 to make $1.45.)
Edit: Deep thoughts on ADT: While the merger risk is still there, I like that there is no short-squeeze risk. Only 3.7% of the float was held short as of Apr. 15th. Interestingly, that's a significant jump from the previously listed short-interest, which was about 2.3% IIRC. In other words, it is now confirmed that someone out there with real size is putting on a similar trade to mine. (Or multiple 'someones')
Here's an idea (not an official 'on the record' trade). With the Japanese printing presses running full speed these days, putting even our own to shame, shorting the JPY on bounces has been a consistently juicy trade lately. In case you've been waiting for an entry point, right here, right now (June at 0.010199) might be something to consider.
I can't approach this trade with any confidence though, because it <i>is</i> a currency trade after all. Currencies are NOT my friends.
I can't approach this trade with any confidence though, because it <i>is</i> a currency trade after all. Currencies are NOT my friends.