riskarb's trading journal

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Quote from riskarb:

SPX bull no touch // weak synthetic straddle

SPX bull no touch: 1225.00
Premium: $525,000
Payout: $1,000,000 [includes prem paid]
Expires: June 20, 2006
Negative edge: a lot
Strike/barrier volatility: 21%
Initial Hedge: Short 270 Sep ES from 125900 average
Symmetrical hedge: Short 500 ES
Vol edge/atm: +300bp

100 points off lows in Dow, although the internals looks horrific as one would expect. I have an added sell stops on futures for 200 more in the 1245-range on Sep futures.
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ouchers.

Major Ouchers! 1222.52

I don't understand the politics of who makes the market for the barriers, but the people you have purchased the barrier from have hosed you Riskarb, like 9 times now. Is there a way to purchase the barrier somewhere else next time?
 
Quote from frisbeeca:

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Quote from riskarb:

SPX bull no touch // weak synthetic straddle

SPX bull no touch: 1225.00
Premium: $525,000
Payout: $1,000,000 [includes prem paid]
Expires: June 20, 2006
Negative edge: a lot
Strike/barrier volatility: 21%
Initial Hedge: Short 270 Sep ES from 125900 average
Symmetrical hedge: Short 500 ES
Vol edge/atm: +300bp

100 points off lows in Dow, although the internals looks horrific as one would expect. I have an added sell stops on futures for 200 more in the 1245-range on Sep futures.
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ouchers.

Major Ouchers! 1222.52

I don't understand the politics of who makes the market for the barriers, but the people you have purchased the barrier from have hosed you Riskarb, like 9 times now. Is there a way to purchase the barrier somewhere else next time?
More...


lol, 9x? I think that's a bit of an exagerration. The account which holds these positions started at $5mil and is worth $9mil currently. The $9mil is inclusive of the recent 10% haircut and $2mil pulled and allocated to paying partnership shares. From five to eleven in 14 months isn't too bad. The account has never suffered a drawdown greater than this 10%.
 
Quote from Prevail:

keep rolling with the punches risk.
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Thanks Pre, Stern, IV, Mo, etc... It's the nature of the game, but it was terrible judgement to remove the hedge at a small gain. BTW, SocGen called me with a "killer" deal on a 2w 1200 no touch. Apparently I am the new whipping boy, but that opinion didn't serve them too well when they opened the account. :p
 
Quote from volente_00:

Hey risk, don't leave me all alone, you are going to miss the easy $ Friday when the generals bend the shorts over.
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lol, I am long ER2 and short June 690c in my personal accounts. Longs of the World unite! As soon as we get a solid reversal I am going long.
 
30d SPX bull no touch // weak synthetic straddle, vega-play

SPX bull no touch: 1175.00
SPX Cash: 1222.00
Premium: $2,260,000
Payout: $4,000,000 [includes prem paid]
Expires: July 14, 2006
Negative edge: a lot
Strike/barrier volatility: 23%
Initial Hedge: Short 500 Sep ES from 123300 average
Symmetrical hedge: Short 875 ES
Vol edge/atm: +400bp


Unusual to get heat to trade when you've taken a 10% DD, but I do see some opportunity here in selling some limited-risk vegas at 1223 on cash [1222 at entry]. Trade is large, but linear to gammas/tenors -- I increase notionals as neutral-gammas decrease. Obviously bullish based upon hedge. Vegas are substantial.

I will replicate with vanilla and remove the futures hedge within one week.
 
Well at least it's good your backers have such confidence in you..usually when one has a drawdown they want to shut you down.

But if YOU really want to take a few days off (as you indicated previously) why don't you do just that.........?
 
Quote from riskarb:

30d SPX bull no touch // weak synthetic straddle, vega-play

SPX bull no touch: 1175.00
SPX Cash: 1222.00
Premium: $2,260,000
Payout: $4,000,000 [includes prem paid]
Expires: July 14, 2006
Negative edge: a lot
Strike/barrier volatility: 23%
Initial Hedge: Short 500 Sep ES from 123300 average
Symmetrical hedge: Short 875 ES
Vol edge/atm: +400bp


Unusual to get heat to trade when you've taken a 10% DD, but I do see some opportunity here in selling some limited-risk vegas at 1224 on cash. Trade is large, but linear to gammas/tenors -- I increase notionals as neutral-gammas decrease. Obviously bullish based upon hedge. Vegas are substantial.

I will replicate with vanilla and remove the futures hedge within one week.
More...

Looks like you increased size dramatically as well...
 
Quote from CPTrader:

Well at least it's good your backers have such confidence in you..usually when one has a drawdown they want to shut you down.

But if YOU really want to take a few days off (as you indicated previously) why don't you do just that.........?
More...

Totally. I had intended on turning off the server until Monday, but received a strong bullish signal an hour ago.
 
Quote from ssternlight:

Looks like you increased size dramatically as well...
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Function of trading vega/gamma. Honestly, nothing to do with eradicating the entire DD. =)
 
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