riskarb's trading journal

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Quote from momoneythansens:

Ahh, front month puts better :) Die SPX die.

I agree, especially if you have access to ES options. Why people use the vix options for directional bets escapes me.
 
Can you guys elaborate pls. Thanks !


Quote from rallymode:

I agree, especially if you have access to ES options. Why people use the vix options for directional bets escapes me.
 
I'm just a broken clock that happens to be right twice a day :)

There is large ambiguity over correlation of IV/VIX and SPX price action in general. Anecdotal evidence suggests that there is more of a correlation between IV and SPX price "bands". Modelling volatility of IV or vvol as it is sometimes known is very difficult if not impossible: suffice it to say that it is in general not a good proxy for direction on the underlying.

If used to catch large spikes as insurance then that is a different matter and I'm sure that was Phil's intention rather than pure directional speculation. We are in a different environment compared to the last few months with respect to volatility.

All of the above further ignores the multiple ambiguities surrounding the pricing of VIX options :eek: versus the relative transparency of index puts. There is no right or wrong here just expression of personal style and circumstances.

MoMoney.

Quote from optionpro007:

Can you guys elaborate. Thanks !
 
Quote from riskarb:

Hope to short another 40 SGXNK tonight to invert from weak to strong on the barrier math. CME NKD implying 15560 on June SGXNK.

Selling futs at the open of the Singapore session.

Sold 30 June SGXNK at 15530 -- short 110 in total.
 
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