Quote from optioncoach:
Riskarb:
I decided to wade into your pool on this strategy.
After today's huge drop in price on GOOG its IV spked up to some highs.
I sold 5 FEB GOOG $400 Straddles @ $53.60 with an IV of 60%!
Looking for the IV to pull back some for the week and pricing the 380/420 straddle to get in at $33.60 or lower sometime in the middle of next week.
Earnings are in two weeks so IV should not collapse but should pull back after the huge spike. I also expect it to hover somewhat so a few days of theta (currently at +.95 for the straddle) will help along with a 5 - 10 point pull back in IV.
I will update the position so we can play together.
Phil
. Nice entry.Quote from riskarb:
I sold some near the close at $55.00 with vols touching 64%. Amazing day. We should see gains from the vol-smile when we see some upside ticks. Better to be neutral, but a move to 410-415 will reduce strip vols as well as earn us some skew-gains.
have some considerations/questions for RA and the group.Quote from cnms2:
riskarb,
How did today affect the positions you opened in this journal, especially your naked straddles?
Quote from riskarb:
I don't trade anything in an IRA, so I assume that shorting stock would be prohibited as well. If not, the short stock/short 2 puts will give you a synthetic straddle at your strike.
There is no way to avoid buying wing premium unless you can sell the synth put straddle. Otherwise, you may buy the 400 call and hold-off on the 360 put, if bullish. Obviously your intent is working these in an IRA as we're attempting in the journal, and I don't know if it's possible in an IRA.
CME is releasing earnings shortly. I don't think we'll see a lot of decay into the number, and the vols will likely hit 40 pre-release. You'll need to hold through earnings.