Riskarb's combo to fly conversion journal

Well with the baby FLYs all I will be focused on really is taking in credits on them when I can to reduce the cost of the large FLY. A $50-point wide GOOG FLY will have about 100 imbedded FLYs spread throughout so if I can sell 5 here or 10 there I can reduce the cost and only slightly affect the profit profile. I was testing this with SPX but the b/a spreads on the BABYs make it impossible. I am going to test it on GOOG. I will include it here if you want to follow and see if there is anything to it. I have followed some trades like it that Charles Cottle did and there is nice profit potential with limited risk. I will let you know :).
 
Sold 5 SPX MAR 1285 Straddles @ $11.80.

With 2 days to expiration, theta and my expectation that we will pull back some today late or tomorrow I took a bearish bias. Also with 1295 resistance being quite strong, worst case me might get pinned to it by Thursday where I will convert or get out. I will most likely get out on Thursday since I do not want to play with triple witching SET but depends where the market goes.
 
Quote from riskarb:

GOOG looks decent for a fly candidate. I'd take some long deltas, selling the Apr 350 combo. Somewhat ambivalent to bearish on the broad market, but I'm looking to get 800bp and $7 in premium out of this combo within a week with a move to neutrality.

Sold it at $46 yesterday, trading $42 at 50% vols at $342 on the shares. I think we could trade South of 45% vols within a week.
 
Quote from riskarb:

Sold it at $46 yesterday, trading $42 at 50% vols at $342 on the shares. I think we could trade South of 45% vols within a week.

Great GOOG trade, I've been watching it drift down all day today. So nice.
 
Quote from riskarb:

Thanks Pismo. Sold the 30-wide iron fly for $4.00 risk credit.

Sold some TS Apr 180 straddles for 21.00 at 43% vol.

Risk: Why?--Please see the attached figure

Ben,
 

Attachments

Quote from Bben1006:

Risk: Why?--Please see the attached figure

Ben,

The 46% vols occurred pre-release -- vols have dropped only 300bp since the 4th quarter report.
 
Quote from riskarb:

Sold 25 of the SGXNK April 16000 synthetic straddles at 840[long 25 futs x short 50 calls] at 22% vols. The plan is to convert within one week.

Vols have collapsed to 18%. The straddle is currently trading at 680. Offset 7 of the straddles and converted a few to 500-wide iron flies at a 30 tick lock. I'll offset the remainder on Monday.
 
Quote from riskarb:

Vols have collapsed to 18%. The straddle is currently trading at 680. Offset 7 of the straddles and converted a few to 500-wide iron flies at a 30 tick lock. I'll offset the remainder on Monday.

Closed the remaining 30 synthetic straddles at 640 to the buy.
 
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