Riskarb's combo to fly conversion journal

IV trader,

I agree with your analysis, If I convert into B-fly. I will have no loss even if the stock trades out of my range 120-90. I may have some probability to make some money. I am expecting a small correction in SPX/ISRG.



Quote from IV_Trader:

I am not sure if Risk meant to enter short combo with possible future conversion on the reporting stocks ( and such a movers as ISRG) in this journal. I don't see how the the buying 90-120 hedge will help you from here. The "right" move would of be to buy the stock around 118 in the pre market (small portion vs. amount of sold calls ) or to close the position for 1-2 loss. IMO
 
Quote from riskarb:

I sold the June Gold 630/640 strangle synthetically for 33.00 at 23% vol. I'll hedge lightly on a break of 623/653 and hope to offset or condor the position at 20% vol next week.

Offset the strangle for $33.00. Vols have dropped 200bp, but the delta was beginning to become a concern.
 
PF Dissection:

A 1x3 PF is simply a synthetic 1x3 ratio-write [spot x option]. The natural PF is an advantage in index markets w/o an futures contract, such as the SOX. To replicate the ratio write [PF] in such an index would require a two-way synthetic in the options:

SOX put-skew ratio write: Short atm call/Long atm put x Short 3 otm puts

SOX put-skew PF: Short itm call/Short 2 otm puts [same-strike]

Reduces the 3-way synthetic trade to a 2-way. Obviously in futures options it's preferable to trade the 1x3 ratio write with futures/options. Applicable in equity options with put skew in issues with restricted shorts, or for anyone preferring to trade options-only.

PF synthetic = futures x 3 otm puts[calls]
1x3 ratio synthetic = PF

Skewed Index PF: Short itm call [short futures/short put synth] x short 2 otm puts [same-strike]
 
ICE:

Reported today. Stock is up slightly, but the June 65 combo hasn't lost more than 300bp in vol. Looks like a nice trade here at $11.00 and 58% vol on the sale.
 
ISRG:

Rolling over here after a couple failed attempts to trade >130. Sold the June 120 combo. Don't have fills in front of me.
 
Quote from IV_Trader:

IV_trader,

I did not find any good stocks for combo to Fly and RC trades this earning season.

Here is the news.

Some retail results were not so positive. Chico's FAS (down $7.10 to $30.00, Research) slumped 19 percent in active New York Stock Exchange trading after the women's clothing retailer reported weaker-than-expected April sales and issued an earnings forecast that fell short of analysts' estimates.


Earnings are on 5/22. Current ATM IV - 44% - Average IV is 45%.

Since earnings are on 5/22, June options would be better. Hoping that IV would increase as we move into earnings date.





CHS vols are up big , anyone thinking of shorting combo at those levels ?
 
Riskarb, what do you think about a strangle on GOOGster?

Short 10 Jun450 Calls, Short 10 Jun390 Puts for a credit of 20? B.E. is between 370 and 470...?
 
Quote from frisbeeca:

Riskarb, what do you think about a strangle on GOOGster?

Short 10 Jun450 Calls, Short 10 Jun390 Puts for a credit of 20? B.E. is between 370 and 470...?

A 420 straddle would be preferable if you're looking to carry those long deltas. I wouldn't suggest it unless you're bullish on GOOG to 420 a share.
 
Quote from IV_Trader:

CHS vols are up big , anyone thinking of shorting combo at those levels ?

nice collapse in vols today , closed my NOV short strangle for 60 cents profit
 
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