Review Of Strategic Tips on Forex Signals In Forex Forum

Helloo Folks,
We thank God for bringing us to the begining of another brand new week and we give Him the

glory in ALL things..

This is Stallion,veteran forex trader and mentor. I would be reviewing strategic tips on

how the major currency pairs can be milked. Though I specialize in gbpusd, other pairs

would also be taken into consideration during our analysis.

It has been theorized that your state of mind will dictate your trading methods. Experts in

the field of trading psychology have pinpointed three main states of mind and how each has a

direct effect on a trader's profitability.

These three mind states are "having", "doing" and "being". Psychologists have noted that

those new to trading start with a "having" state of mind. As they gain more experience,

they move on to a "doing" state of mind. The pinnacle of profitability occurs when a trader

moves into the last and final "being" frame of mind.



The "Having" Mind Set
A novice trader may focus primarily on profits. In this "having" state of mind, they are

out of sync with the markets. They are blinded by their obsession to obtain the all mighty

dollar and what it can afford them. Trading is not viewed as a job that must be mastered,

but as a vehicle to escape from a world of mediocrity.

Many traders are in the business to make money, as well as they should be. However, if they

are blinded by greed, they tend to take uncalculated risks. Looking at the potential payoff

without carefully calculating market trends and other factors is a recipe for disaster.

It is impossible to graduate to a high performance level when you concentrate on "having"

instead of how the game is won. If you trade in a "having" frame of mind, you may become

frustrated when profits are not immediately forthcoming. With frustration comes a lack of

focus. Without the ability to focus, you cannot gain knowledge from your experience on the

trading field.

Other negative consequences of this mindset are feelings of frustration and anger.

Frustration stemming from a lack of expected profits and anger directed at oneself or the

market in general. These adverse emotions will only cause further decline in profitability.

Without witnessing gains from one's efforts, an individual may not give their best and may

be tempted to "throw in the towel".



The "Doing" State of Mind
If an individual continues on to trade another day, they will eventually move from a

"having" to a "doing" state of mind. Learning that there is more to trading than the

amassing of money, a trader will turn their focus on learning new methods of trading and

what does and doesn't work.

This state of mind is still primarily centered on how to turn a profit. Although a "doing"

mind state is essential to becoming a seasoned adept trader, the main focus is still short

of the mark. It is crucial to know what works and what doesn't. However, a skilled trader

will tell you there is more to the business then choosing one method and using it

arbitrarily to make trades across the board.

Becoming a trader of means requires not only a winning attitude, but also a fine honing of

trading skills. To develop these skills, you must make trades using various methods under a

wide spectrum of market conditions. Only then can you develop the needed intuition to

master the art of trading.



Pinnacle of Profitability: The "Being" State of Mind
A successful trader almost instinctively knows how to make a trade using the best method

available for the current market trend and/or condition. This ability does not occur

overnight. It is only accomplished through perseverance, knowledge of various trading

methods and learning which one works given a particular market condition.

No trade is ever a "sure thing". However, a profitable synchronicity almost naturally

occurs when you are faced with a potential trade, have a feel for the current market trends

and conditions, and utilize the method best suited for a potential payoff. This "being"

state of mind ultimately lends itself to long-term success in the high stakes of trading.


So for today,Sunday the 16th of November,we await the opening bell of the Asian Session to

commence trading..
we might likely see a BULLISH GAP to the upside in less than 7 hours from now.
We put a buy stop on our 60% BUY WINDOW @ 1.4765...1st target @ 1.4805..2nd target @

1.4840...3rd target @ 1.4884..sl @ 1.4700

white_14.gif
 
Hey Forexgreenland

All trends from the monthly to the 5m timeframe are down. Why do you see an up-gap coming? In other words, on what do you base your decision?

Cheers,

Smurf
 
Quote from Smurfie:

Hey Forexgreenland

All trends from the monthly to the 5m timeframe are down. Why do you see an up-gap coming?

In other words, on what do you base your decision?

Cheers,

Smurf

Hi Smurf, the up gap is not really the issue here..Price pleased us with some lyrical

teasers.
We jus chilling.. when we popped the cable glass ceiling..like an epiphany..me and

traderji..
I based my decision due to the ''market tells''..shown on those charts..mon ami..Like I said

earlier, price was at its BUY WINDOW...MACD showing bullish divergence,123 pattern,etc..As

you go along, you'll see why I based my decision on a long call, instead of a short..


jeff15 said:
In the name of the lord most merciful,
Nice thread forexgreenland. Week begins with the pound 13 percent drop against the dollar

and 8 percentagainst the euro . British banks are shrinking foreign borrowings .A weaker

currency is being recommended.

Maybe, jeff15...maybe..

betard 75367 said:
Bearish gap, filled and bounced off your entry point (resistance area).

Looked like a good place to short rather than long but i was sleeping. If there had been a

bullish gap then that looked like a good long trade though (bounce off support). Look

forward to hearing more.

Yes, betard, I like that word ..''bounced off entry point''..like bouncy balls..At that

particular time, it looked good to short..and we got stopped out twice..

In retrospect, that might not really look like a good place to short, except for the

SCALPERS..Like Ninjas,they move in stealth, with each breath..never make their presence

felt..Price on the GBPUSD opened this Monday morning @ 1.4671..made a low of 1.4656..just 15

pips..removing 5 to 6 pip spread reduces it further..Though there was not a bullish gap in

the early hours of this morning, but a bearish gap on the open, it was just the precursor of

good times in the bullish sides..

trader10.gif



Wow nice call today! I must be honest after been stop out twice the

third time I was not very condident with the trade and took+ 20 pips, if I had wait I should

grabe +200pips.... thx Stalion

trader11.gif


It was like 382 pips,mon ami...close to $400 minilot..$4000 standard lot on monday..But we

got stopped out twice at 65 pips each...making a total loss of 130 pips..Subtract that from

382 pips, we get net profit of 252 pips(excluding pip spread /or charges.)..But remember, we

lost twice before we can arrive at our net profit..Such is life...If Thomas Edison can fail

a thousand times before dicovering the icandescent lamp, why are we traders soo skeptical to

losses.. Every single trade does not have to be a masterpiece..


forexgreenland, I will be here with you to check the

daily analysis and strategic tips of forex.. i hope you post such this info continuously ...

I will learn more and more..
Thanks forexgreenland


No probs, delv..We all learn and earn more and more...

trader12.gif



So.. where are these other guys you are talking to?

Just google ''forexgreenland''
 
Looking at GBP/USD intraday: key ST resistance at 1.5.
Pivot: 1.5
Preferred: Short positions below 1.5 with targets @ 1.4815 & 1.467 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.5 look for further upside with 1.51 & 1.513 as targets.
Comment: the RSI has banged against a major resistance around 70% and is reversing down.
It is being said the pound's decline will assist GB's economy so as long as it doesn't turn

into a ``run'' on the currency.Investors are selling the pound on concern about the size of

GB's recession.

Nice one, jeffsmith, keep it coming..



Nice analysis !!!

I think the pound keeps getting pounded for further losses after the negative view trotted

out by King and company midweek and by the backdrop of the country's current account deficit

and huge fiscal challenges. These are the same types of problems faced by the typical

emerging market country in a global crisis and some are even starting to talk up the idea of

a currency crisis for the UK. The negative momentum that GBP has worked up at this point is

getting worrisome and may demand an official response very soon if GBPUSD moves to 1.4000

and EURGBP to 0.9000. We've been taken aback at the vehemence of the moves - the GBP crosses

are dangerous territory.

Regards

Yes,stalla, you might be quite right on that one, you know..especially with the GBP crosses

like GBPCHF and GBPJPY, aka the beast..so prudent money management during trading is very

important..

[11:11:55 19/11/08] Stalion: hi everyone

[11:12:17 19/11/08] Maximus : Hey Stalion good to hear from you..

[11:14:08 19/11/08] djcarlos : Hi

[11:16:02 19/11/08] Stalion : cool...

[11:21:42 19/11/08] Stalion : also a buy stop on gu at 1.5005..1st target at 1.5025..2nd

target at 1.5045...40 pip sl away

[11:25:43 19/11/08] djcarlos : so, the buy entry was hit???

[11:26:33 19/11/08] Stalion : yes, dj...

[11:26:46 19/11/08] Stalion : we are on the ride

[11:44:07 19/11/08] klho83 : All targets hit

[11:45:24 19/11/08] djcarlos : yes

[11:50:35 19/11/08] masif1 : wow - quick 40pips!

gcool10.gif


[11:50:35 19/11/08] Maximus : do we live the sell stop there?

[11:50:47 19/11/08] masif1 : and still going up!

[11:53:16 19/11/08] Maximus : guys do myou keep your sell entry activated or not?

[11:56:07 19/11/08] djcarlos : I saw in dailyfx.com that GU will going to make pivot in

1.5050

[11:56:34 19/11/08] Stalion : no...delete the sell stop entry for now, since market dynamics

have changed

[11:56:46 19/11/08] djcarlos : ok

[11:57:00 19/11/08] Maximus : thx...

[11:57:03 19/11/08] Stalion : hope you got ur trailing stop on

[11:58:00 19/11/08] Stalion : what kind of pivot,dj? what do you mean about pivot at 1.5050

[11:58:03 19/11/08] Maximus : exit 1.5045 because only trading 0.10 lots..

gcool110.gif


[11:58:35 19/11/08] djcarlos : I can send to you the chart by mail

[11:59:07 19/11/08] klho83 : Is the sell stop still valid?

[11:59:48 19/11/08] masif1 : i have left the sell in place

[11:59:54 19/11/08] Stalion : it doesnt matter, max..you could close half of the 0.1 lot

...as in, 0.05..the allow d other half to ride with a trailing stop..


[20:33:40] Stalion : hi folks, its a cool evening here in the city of Lagos, so we put a buy

stop on GBPUSD @ 1.5045..1st target at 1.5070...2nd taRGET AT 1.5095..3rd target at

1.5120...50 pip sl away

gcool210.gif


And we also put a sell stop on GBPUSD @ 1.4970...1st target @ 1.4945..2nd target @

1.4920..3rd target @ 1.4895..

gcool310.gif



We call it TRAPPING THE DRAGON TECHNIqueza
 
Hello Mystikal,

How are you doing?Please i will like to ask apart from the 123 top and bottom, is there any other type of chart pattern that can be formed.


Yes, onwuka...there are some good chart patterns around...just google head and shoulder patterns, W top and bottom, wedges,triangles,pennants, etc..You could find something useful that might assist you in your trading activities..If you checked those charts, you would hardly see any indicators...every trading decision is based from the charts and patterns..no mumbo jumbo indicators or lines all over the place,,just straight from the charts..



it seems too complicated/technical for me . really for beginner? for me, I just need easy/simple indicator or EA to decide buy or sell.


Lol,kitty...in reality..it is quite simple and easy in forecasting..Dont stop it if you think you gonna make a profit..
Many of the most simplest things in life are the most profound..like hydrogen,with the atomic number of 1.
We need 2 atoms of oxygen with an atom of hydrogen, to form 1 molecue of water(H20)..Very simple but many people are not AWARE..''For the Bible says;My people Perish Due To Lack Of Knowledge/Vision''..
Until you are AWARE that YOU are the INDICATOR..YOU are the Expert Advisor...YOU are the ROBOT...YOU are the HOLY GRAIL'',,you would always see yourself as a beginner in the markets..
Until you throw off the clutches of EA's, robots,and diverse indicators, and start taking trading decisions straight from the charts,you would always tend to see yourself handicapped from reaching your goals of making profits through trading..
YOU TAKE THE DECISION...YOU TAKE THE RESPONSIBILITIES..NOT A ROBOT..FOR YOU ARE THE R-O-B-O-T!

I went short @ 1.4944 yesterday at about 7am with limit set at 1.49 and stop loss at 1.50. Up to 11am the range fluctuated between 1.4960 to 1.4995 even after the BoE minutes. Did I miss something? After the CBI report obviously I was out the trade and seeing the trend of GBP extend to 1.51+. Why didn't this go my way?


Sorry,logoodung, you were right in the middle of the 3 low of the 1-2-3 pattern,which usually foretells a bullish bias..Problem was, you thought short, instead of long..Thats what you missed, mon ami..ohh, by the way, there was also a bullish hammer candlestick just where you went short, which formed as support to price..so where you would've gone right, as in the solution, was by putting a sell stop below the low of 1, of the 123 chart pattern,which if triggered, would confirm your bearish bias in pric e movement..

[20:33:40] Stalion : hi folks, its a cool evening here in the city of Lagos,
And we also put a sell stop on GBPUSD @ 1.4970...1st target @ 1.4945..2nd target @

1.4920..3rd target @ 1.4895..

gcool310.gif


We call it TRAPPING THE DRAGON TECHNIqueza



[20:45:50 19/11/08] Maximus : ok I got it, thx Stalion.....

[20:50:33 19/11/08] djcarlos : thanks Stal

[09:24:57 20/11/08] klho83 : I missed that:(

[10:31:43 20/11/08] klho83 : Hi Max.

[10:58:56 20/11/08] masif1 : guys stalion did NOT post the following alert

[10:59:05 20/11/08] masif1 : And we also put a sell stop on GBPUSD @ 1.4970...1st target @ 1.4945..2nd target @

[11:00:48 20/11/08] masif1 : 1.4920..3rd target @ 1.4895..

[11:00:55 20/11/08] masif1 : this was on the forum

[11:01:08 20/11/08] masif1 : http://www.trade2win.com/boards/for...gic-tips-milking-major-currency-pairs-24.html

[11:01:13 20/11/08] masif1 : posted last night

[11:01:23 20/11/08] masif1 : the buy call we would have got stopped out on

[11:01:37 20/11/08] masif1 : however the sell call we would have made profit Wink

[11:06:42 20/11/08] masif1 : or was that the original sell alert stalion sent yesterday morning?

[11:06:59 20/11/08] masif1 : i know i should not have cancelled it ;(


gcool410.gif



so for Friday,we put a buy stop on GBPUSD @ 1.4865...1st target @ 1.4900...2nd target @ 1.4950...3rd target @ 1.5050
 
hello stallion,

please i have some questions for you:

1) Please how do you know which time frame to do your analysis. i just noticed that at ties,
you do your analysis on 5 minutes chart, 15 minutes chart or 4 hours chart. Please what

factors
do you actually put into considerations when choosing this time frame?

2)i have also noticed that the way you choose your pattern formations vary(whether 1-2-3 top

or
bottom). in some cases,you space out the distance b/w the points 1,2,and 3. And in some

cases,
the distance b/w the points are very close? Please why is this so?

3) You sometime made mention of a hammer to me. Please if i see a bearish or bullish hammer,
what does that mean or what do i expect to see?

4) "Since a doji session represents a market at a juncture of indecision, it can often be

an early
warning that a preceeding rally(rise) could be losing steam.."

My question here is this: can a doji also tell you that a preceding fall or drop is also
losing steam?



Trust onwuka to ask some of those deep questions...

We use what traders popularly call the TOP DOWN APPROACH..starting from the higher

timeframes(monthly, weekly, daily and four hourly), to the lower timeframes(hourly,

15min,and 5 minutes..)..As we are mainly on intraday trading,we use lower timeframes to

pinpoint entries and exits...higher timeframes are mainly used by position and swing

traders..also good for knowing the overall trend..

2..The spacing of the 1-2-3 pattern is quite irrelevant due to the fact that market dynamics

change as time progresses..trading is a function of time and space..HOW long can price

travel in a session(s)..What you are looking for is the OVERALL pattern, not the difference

in sums between the parts of the whole..

3..A bullish hammer is oulined like a hammer...where the shadow or tail is twice the length

of the real body of the candlestick..whether dark or white..it means price is pausing in

order to reverse or continue its walk..
And yes, a doji can also foretell a preceeding fall losing steam..



Reealjrd' pid='6695' dateline='1227339374 said:
Market has recovered some shat. But we cannot say it a recovery because some market news say

that the market might once again show some dip. So be cautious when the market goes up.

Yes, we surely will,Reeal...


Hello,

How long to stay short of sterling? how long until sterling recovers?

I have a USD fund with a STG equivalent, at some point I should switch from USD into STG, I

am wondering if now is to soon.

Thanks in advance for advice.

Regards
Arran.


'The Reaction Swing is the centre of the cycle, where you can look back and then based on

this information, determine where the cycle will go in the future.Since the Reaction Swing

is where the Action ends and the Reaction begins, it marks the centre of a repititive cycle

in which the past can project the future..
In the monthly chart below, the price movement between B and C is the Reaction Swing.
A Reaction Swing begins and ends with the lowest and highest closing prices..All you need to

know are the dates of the highest closing price and the lowest closing price of the Reaction

Swing in order to move on to the next step- PROJECTING FUTURE TURNING POINTS IN THE MARKETS

CALLED REVERSAL DATES, WHERE PRICE AND TIME CONVERGE.

gufrie12.gif


Subtract the low of 1.7047(C), from the high of 1.9554(B) to get a difference of 0.2507
Divide 0.2507 by 2 (half) to get a total of 0.1254
Subtract 0.1254 from the high of 1.9554 and you get a price of 1.8304 ass the centre of the

Reaction Swing.
Place a sell stop at 1.8304.When the market passes through this price, the sell stop is

triggered and you are short GBPUSD at 1.8304.That should be around august this year..
The next step is to determine the maximum possible timespan of the trade..According to TIME

PROJECTION strategies, the Reversal date(high probability turning point of its trend) is

scheduled as from 4 to 8 months from now..Those on March futures could take mental note.
Whichever comes first...1.3090 target for our price projection or 4 to 8 months in our time

projection..whichever one comes first



is everyone here ever use indicator cat50fx ???


Not sure,kong..


Quote from trackstar:

what "method" are you using for these conditions?


Hi trackstar,It is much of a ''method'', than it is a strategy...The CHART PATTERN

RECOGNITION AND PRICE PROJECTION STRATEGY simply tells us where price is going and how far

it might get there, to a considerable extent..


technamental wrote:
No.. Your posts here are not collaborative. They are self promoting. I don't think

you have any intent of interacting with this forum's users on the other threads

here...


You are quite mistaken, my good fellow..maybe there's a slight misunderstanding here...I

intract by answering comments and questions addressed in this thread..Just by reading your

posts along with others, here, shows inclusion..I'm sorry if it seems self promoting to you,

but I believe readers have a lot to gain when going through this thread,whether

participating or non participating..very educative and reveals how real life practical

trading works..no spouting of theories that brings no profits to members..Why cover the

light under a basket in darkness? The purpose and nature of light is to shine!
This is like a JOURNEY...A JOURNEY INTO THE HEART OF TRADING...A MOVEMENT...A MOVEMENT INTO

THE FRONTIERS OF OPPORTUNITIES! And if along the way, showing that trading can be a

winner's game..or something good can come out of my country Nigeria, despite all the media

negativity...if considered as self promoting..then so be it...Cant win'em all, can we?



[09:57:05 21/11/08] Stalion : hi everyone

[09:57:23 21/11/08] Stalion : so for Friday,we put a buy stop on GBPUSD @ 1.4865...1st

target @ 1.4900...2nd target @ 1.4950...3rd target @ 1.5050

[10:33:27 21/11/08] Maximus : I received the sms to late for the trade....

[10:43:26 21/11/08] Maximus : masif1 did you had the chance tp enter in the trade...

[10:49:06 21/11/08] djcarlos : i enter ... and after to 1st target hit... went out and

re-enter... and now in 2nd hit go out.... thanks Stal

gufrie10.gif


[10:49:18 21/11/08] djcarlos : 80 pips in the bag

[10:54:00 21/11/08] djcarlos : The sell stop is 1.4970????

[11:12:04 21/11/08] masif1 : hi maximus

[11:12:15 21/11/08] masif1 : i did and trailing a the s/l

[11:12:25 21/11/08] masif1 : 50pips already in the bag!

[11:13:11 21/11/08] djcarlos : do you will enter the sell stop ???

[11:13:30 21/11/08] djcarlos : now is hiting

[12:55:08 21/11/08] masif1 : 3rd target hit

[12:55:41 21/11/08] masif1 : 185 pips

gufrie11.gif


[12:55:55 21/11/08] masif1 : cheers

[13:15:14 21/11/08] Maximus : whatr is the sell stop????

[13:38:07 21/11/08] masif1 : it was buy stop order not a sell

[14:04:34 21/11/08] Maximus : what was the sell stop that Stalion send on the sms???

[15:37:20 21/11/08] masif1 : 10:39:43 20/11/08] Stalion : okay....sell stop at 1.4820..1st

target at 1.4785....

[15:51:44 21/11/08] djcarlos : the sell Stop of Trapping the Dragon its in 1.4970..

[16:24:45 21/11/08] masif1 : lol

[16:24:54 21/11/08] masif1 : your right djcarlos

[16:24:57 21/11/08] masif1 : good call

[16:25:03 21/11/08] masif1 : shame i missed it

[16:47:39 21/11/08] Maximus : the sell stop 1.4820 is still good or not!!!!

[17:04:57 21/11/08] djcarlos : I used 1.4970 sell stop... and go out with 170 pips

[17:05:16 21/11/08] djcarlos : Very Happy

[17:05:23 21/11/08] djcarlos : thanks Stal

[17:07:44 21/11/08] djcarlos : the trapping of dragon worked exelent..

[17:29:48 21/11/08] masif1 : what a dragon!

[17:29:54 21/11/08] masif1 : well done djcarlos

[17:30:39 21/11/08] masif1 : that's a possible 300-400 pips made today!



okay- a few things ive learned through the years of fxing -

go with the trend & dont try and guess when the trend is over

BUT.......

did anyone else see the USD turnaround signs? Not really a strong one with GBP - but a

perfect trendline touch on EUR, almost a double top reaction spike on CHF.

All pairs showed serious rection spikes today - without surpassing former lows/highs

Kind of like slamming the brakes on your car.

Wonder if Mon Asian market will dump lots of cash in - or wait because of light US trade

week?

Will the slow trade week basically reset all the indicators and make this one giant

bull/bear trap?

Set yr stops close ~

Thoughts?

:confused:

Quite elementary, my dear Watson..I mean, Bert..The Doggy Style move on the GBPUSD have the

potential of yielding approximately 135 pps when we put a sell stop @ 1.4922..1st target @

1.4881..2nd target @ 1.4840..3rd target @ 1.4787...if you fear a trap, you can also put a

buy stop on the same entry @ 1.4922..1st target @ 1.4945..2nd target @ 1.4970..3rd target @

1.4995..on the bullish side..USDCHF might also open on the bullish side @ 1.2225..1st target

@ 1.2245..2nd target @ 1.2262


gufrie13.gif
 
[00:07:31 24/11/08] Stalion : hi everyone

[00:09:04 24/11/08] Stalion : price made a bullish gap on the opening gap of the Asian session....so its a very good opportunity

[00:09:40 24/11/08] Stalion : we put a sell stop @ 1.4922..1st target @ 1.4881..2nd target @ 1.4840..3rd target @ 1.4787...if you fear a trap, you can also put a buy stop on the same entry @ 1.4922..1st target @ 1.4945..2nd target @ 1.4970..3rd target @ 1.4995..on the bullish side..USDCHF might also open on the bullish side @ 1.2225..1st target @ 1.2245..2nd target @ 1.2262

[00:10:13 24/11/08] Stalion : we revise our sell stop to 1.4945

[00:53:13 24/11/08] djcarlos : FXCM it having problems... i cant enter the sell stop

[01:14:33 24/11/08] djcarlos : entry point was hit??? I cant see

[01:26:30 24/11/08] Stalion : hmmmm....

[01:27:04 24/11/08] Stalion : the doggy style didnt work?

[01:27:46 24/11/08] djcarlos : I dont know ... I cant see .. my plataform it having problems...

[01:32:03 24/11/08] djcarlos : how was the alert???

[01:33:52 24/11/08] Stalion : we just hit first target

[01:34:07 24/11/08] djcarlos : Sad

doggys10.gif


[01:39:46 24/11/08] Stalion : u can still enter now....

[01:40:01 24/11/08] Stalion : price still has some distance to go....

[01:50:28 24/11/08] djcarlos : I cant because my broker is not working

[01:51:19 24/11/08] djcarlos : The doggy style is going to be like trapping dragon.... it will going up.. after down??

[02:57:15 24/11/08] djcarlos : I cant enter yet




I dont know Holmes,

looks like the USD is about to go down.


doggys11.gif



Dr Who?
Sorry...bert...stuff happens..right?


Hi everyone, hope ur all having a nice day...the UK gdp REPORT CAME OUT THE SAME , SO FOR NOW,WEDNESDAY, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IS PREEMINENT..we put a sell stop on GBPUSD @ 1.5300..1st target @ 1.5260...2nd target @ 1.5175..3rd target @ 1.5090..sl @ 50 pips away from entry..
 
Learning_pips said:
Hi Stal,

Wanted to clarify a point out of the explaination that you gave a couple of days back about

the Reaction Swing and the Projected Reversal Date.
1.When you said about the centre of the cycle, wont we calculate a 60% buy window and be

long on the trade after the Reaction Swing ends and the current Bull run restarts.

2.For applying Mr.Crane's Reversal date projection technique of reverse and forward counts,

what is the most reliable time frame to do so. I mean I tried doing it in smaller time

frames but could not be very successful.

Thnks..your big fan..


Helloo Learning pips,
You know what your questions does to me? it challenges me...really, it does..like digging

down the well of yourself..believe me guys, these questions are NOT easy, though

simple..neither is understanding market behaviour or ''tells'' for consistent

profitability..
So we go back to our monthly charts on the GBPUSD..remember last time, we talked about a

reversal date of 4 to 8 months from now, for the cable..in which , price would have reached

a high probability turning point from its downtrend to (A) an uptrend reversal or (B), a

sideways consolidation or range in which the market is not ready to reverse but would

continue trading in the same direction as the current trend.So price on cable has a maximum of 9 months to show a reversal, according to the Reversal Date technique.

monthl10.gif


We shouldnt mix the concept of the Reaction Swing and Projected Reversal Date with the 60%

buy/sell windows. The R.S is mainly used for TIME PROJECTIONS while the 60% buy/sell windows

are more useful in the realm of PRICE PROJECTIONS.Now look at BC, the Reaction Swing where

we got the centre of the circle in which the past can project the future..though price would

have triggered our centre of the Reaction Swing @ 1.8300..it made a turnaround at the 60%

window..where the red arrow was.. Except you got very deep pockets to withstand a $1300 pip

downward move with leverage,you would've been stopped out..It was at the 2nd try, where the

blue arrow was, that price cleanly triggered the buy stop at the centre of the Reaction

Swing, and rocketed up..

Another difference is the R.S/R.D are mainly used in PRICE RETRACEMENTS, while the BUY/SELL

WINDOWS, are mainly used PRICE TRENDS..Always understand the difference, like understanding

your reality..''where Am I At In The Present Moment Of Now?'' Where Am I In The Greater

Scheme Of The Universe?Am I in a full trend or a retracement/correction?

2 Actually, you can apply those TIME PROJECTION TECHNIQUES on any timeframe, whether 5min,

15min, hourly, or weekly,etc.. The major challenge is counting those bars or candlesticks,

for the lower the timeframes, the more Reaction Swings inherent in them, and the more you do

your counts.. Since John Crane is from the futures/commodities world, most of his strategies

are different, yet similar to those in the forex world. His brilliant book, ADVANCED SWING

TRADING'', is very helpful for swing and position traders..



My studies have proven to me that flexible and liberal interpretation

of EWA coupled with precise Fibonacci proportions & extensions on Price much more accurate

and practicable than all the Time studies of Gann, Delta, MM etc...

From practice & observation of others (including the newsletters from Copan) Delta or MM are

pretty much based on loose, flexible timings.The theoretical assertiveness of Copan in his

tapes is impressive but his newsletters are nourished with incertitudes....

I have yet to find a Timing study more precise than Price to trade with despite all the hype

about Time. Time cycles dissapears at times......
Just my experience and choice I guess.


Hmmm, Mageroi, you might be quite right there..though they still have their uses..Is Time

Projection a core strategy of Buffetology?






Dear Madam and Dear Sir,
My name is Mahir I am a investor in Turkey, I would to ask you a question if you permit.
According to the exchange rates, the £ exchange rate to the $ was 1,99 at the common years,

now it decreases to 1,49.
According to the exchange rates, the £ exchange rate to the € was 1,55 at the common years,

now it decreases to 1,17.
As we have in our owner equity, our capital is almost all in British Pounds. According to

the long-term finance management we have a loss of about 900.000 Dollar’s because of the

exchange course.
My question is what do you advice me to do. Should I change to Euro or will the Pound be

stable and will gain its unique power again.
I hope you are not suprised about this mail because there to many speculations and I really

do not now how to act thats why I need help for an advice from you.
I thank you in forward and hope for your reply.
Yours Sincerly,
MAHIR - MB219TR@YAHOO.COM

Well, Mahir,
just dont overlook GOLD as an alternative asset class, that traders run to during periods of

market uncertainity.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081129/ap_on_bi_ge/ml_opec_meeting



trying to max my dollar exchange to gbp...i can wait...is it worth it?

some predict gbp will tank at 1.40 dol. opinion?

Even lower, danew...Price on the cable have up to 9 months to prove it.

NOW,SUNDAY,our previous order is still on,.we put a sell stop on GBPUSD @ 1.5300..1st target

@ 1.5260...2nd target @ 1.5175..3rd target @ 1.5090..sl @ 50 pips away from entry..

[10:32:33 26/11/08] Stalion : we also put a buy stop on gu @ 1.5540...1st target @

1.5580..2nd target @ 1.5615

[10:33:04 26/11/08] Stalion : sl @ 40 pips away..

If you care to observe, both buy and sell stops are at the extreme end of the Thanksgiving

week range..so we call this THE MONTHOBAMA TECHNIQUE

montho10.gif
 
I need some advice from some seasoned forex traders...I am a college

student studying finance and I am fairly new to forex trading but i have frequently day

traded some stocks. I opened up a fxcm account 3 days ago funded with $5,000. Today was the

first day that I traded it for about 3 hours. At the end of the 3 hrs I made a profit of

$1,042.25. It doesn't seem like I'm executing my trades very well though, so I'm wondering

if this is just luck or something like that. Is significant profit a sign of good

trading?


Hi mfostel,
Its quite encouraging of you to admit you've not been executing your trades very

well..Though some might say its just 'luck to catch a drop', it all depends on you, at the

end of the day..
Significant profits is just a MEASURE of good trading....You still have to create structures

based on your trading plan , in order to know where, when and how you went right or wrong in

your trading activities..
These structures includes your trading strategy, risk management and trader psychology..like

how do you reconcile an 80% gross profit with a 50 % relative drawdown?
How exposed are your trades for that session , in relation to your total equity? How do you

know when you are on a losing streak and how does that affect your successive trading

activities? Those, and more questions you ask yourself, would surely help in making you the

seasoned trader that you are meant to be.

P.S- As a graduate of Finance from the University Of Lagos, I would say you are building a background in news trading..as in, economic analysis and forecasts would be right up your alley..if you are real jiggy with your major.




[08:13:41 01/12/08] agba : Hi Stal

[08:14:34 01/12/08] agba : Is the sell stop at 1.5300 still valid, it has been stopped out

once today?

[10:37:35 01/12/08] Stalion : helloo everyone

[10:37:57 01/12/08] Stalion : yes, agba....it is...if stopped out, you reenter..

[10:38:05 01/12/08] Maximus : Heu Stalion...

[10:39:41 01/12/08] Stalion : 1st and 2nd target already hit for 125 pips..going for 3rd

target

montho11.gif


[10:39:56 01/12/08] Stalion : helloo there, max..

[10:40:03 01/12/08] Stalion : howz ur trading going?

[10:40:39 01/12/08] Maximus : very good i am out at 1.5175, thx...

[10:41:36 01/12/08] agba : DId not reentered waited fr ur response


[10:43:49 01/12/08] Stalion : Here, we tend to nurture traders to become independent after

time..once you get the thick of it, you tend to trade better yourself...in this case, am

sorry you didnt reenter..

[10:43:58 01/12/08] agba : Can I enter now?

[10:44:41 01/12/08] Stalion : not sure...it depends on the risk to reward ratio

[10:45:18 01/12/08] Stalion : our 3rd target is 1.5090..

[10:46:08 01/12/08] Stalion : u can still enter now, with a 50 pip sl..agba...

[10:46:10 01/12/08] agba : I will wait till us session

[10:47:29 01/12/08] agba : ok thanks

[10:47:43 01/12/08] Stalion : though the reward would be approximately the same, at current

market price

[10:48:12 01/12/08] Stalion : but the risk would be double since you got stopped out earlier

[10:48:44 01/12/08] agba : I entered @1.5128

[10:50:21 01/12/08] Stalion : no probs...time will tell..

[10:52:04 01/12/08] Stalion: remember, put a 15 or 20 pip trailing stop on price when you

are +20 pips ahead

[10:52:21 01/12/08] agba : ok

[11:15:57 01/12/08] agba : Thks Stal. Got 38pips

[11:41:17 01/12/08] Stalion : lol!

montho12.gif


[11:42:24 01/12/08] Stalion : price on cable have gone way beyond our 3rd target of

1.5090...for more than 210 pips,$210 minilot,$2100 standard lot

[12:08:50 01/12/08] Stalion : even after subtracting the 50 pip stop loss earlier in the

morning, we are still ahead

[13:33:36 01/12/08] djcarlos : I missed that exelent trade .... Sad

[13:34:07 01/12/08] Stalion : why? it has been out in the open for more than 24 hrs

[13:34:23 01/12/08] djcarlos : I stal.... this falll is going to have retracement???

[18:30:17 01/12/08] djcarlos : Hi, im looking CNN and US it was declared recently in

recetion

[18:30:45 01/12/08] Stalion : recession?

[18:31:37 01/12/08] djcarlos : sorry... yes recession in US... CNN said that is officialy

[18:35:07 01/12/08] djcarlos : about 20 minutes was declarated ... but they sais that the

recesssion start in december 2007

[19:10:07 01/12/08] Stalion : from a sell entry of 1.5300 to a low of 1.4805

[19:10:15 01/12/08] Stalion : almost 500 pips

[19:13:12 01/12/08] djcarlos : yes.... and I missed it.... I want to die .... I looked the

chat at 5:00 am... and the fall start at 6:00 am...

[19:15:52 01/12/08] djcarlos : but now i hope a good retracement



Stocks fall sharply on consumer spending worries - Yahoo! News



now wht wuld be the rebound of GBP/USD..............( i m holding the

position sell 153.5 to going on.

If there's going to be a rebound or retracement, fasi, I think its better we put a buy stop

on cable @ 1.4900, 1st target @ 1.4935..2nd target @ 1.4985..3rd target @ 1.5135...with a

stop loss @ 1.4805...Please check your risk to reward ratio before taking any trades.
 
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