Reversion to the mean only trading...

do not complicate things
trading is easy as abc...DT DB LH HL

Hardly a challenge

but some like Brooks, Hansen Raschke make it one

though brooks does simplify some things and generalise others quite correctly.. he has many good ideas.......but for most of markets the above alphabets are all, that is needed.

easy money...wonder why i ever lost it
LOL not all DT DB LH HL and throw in wedge top ..wedge bottom..flags..PB’s ..whatever....are not equal in strength or weakness and often will fail to do what a trader thinks they should do, based upon what he has been taught. Knowing how to judge the likelihood of each pattern succeeding or failing, and reaching a PT before reaching a SL are keys to successful scalping and maintaining a high win rate. A wedge top doesn’t mean it will play out as a wedge top is normally anticipated to play out. This is why traders give up trading patterns (which is a shame) as it can often appear to be a 50% thing. So, might as well flip a coin they think. Being able to judge if a price pattern has a slight percentage of succeeding as opposed to failing is tied to the context in which the pattern was formed in. Perhaps the two charts below will speak to that.

In addition, knowing what to do when a pattern fails to do as anticipated is key to consistent high win rate, lower drawdowns, and getting back previous losses quickly.

B23963CB-58EE-4694-A9CD-A62270847F66.jpeg




D94CECB3-5116-466B-BE37-9D8F413EFE6D.jpeg
 
LOL not all DT DB LH HL and throw in wedge top ..wedge bottom..flags..PB’s ..whatever....are not equal in strength or weakness and often will fail to do what a trader thinks they should do, based upon what he has been taught. Knowing how to judge the likelihood of each pattern succeeding or failing, and reaching a PT before reaching a SL are keys to successful scalping and maintaining a high win rate. A wedge top doesn’t mean it will play out as a wedge top is normally anticipated to play out. This is why traders give up trading patterns (which is a shame) as it can often appear to be a 50% thing. So, might as well flip a coin they think. Being able to judge if a price pattern has a slight percentage of succeeding as opposed to failing is tied to the context in which the pattern was formed in. Perhaps the two charts below will speak to that.

In addition, knowing what to do when a pattern fails to do as anticipated is key to consistent high win rate, lower drawdowns, and getting back previous losses quickly.

View attachment 248457



View attachment 248458

of course that will fail....in a up trend all DT will fail SO WHAT ?

in trading there are failures

either in a trend, do not take DT or after getting stopped out, it is DB buy

my point is TRADING IS NO CHALLENGE.

the real challenge in trading is to LEARN TO TRADE: every single person 'educating' is complicating matters and making traders think too much.



all you need is an edge

wq1.jpg
 
Last edited:
LOL. all of this VOLPRI Chart analysis is JUST HINDSIGHT BIAS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

same with price action trading after the fact looking at charts.
LOL why don't you try doing chart analysis of a chart before it comes into existence. Of course it is hindsight. The trades are taken (not on the chart above but on my journal charts). They show up on the chart and then the explanation is given. The chart above was just an old chart I dug up to make point. It was annotated long ago.

Now why don't YOU post a few charts of your trades and then explain the trades instead of just posting I did this and I did that. I lost this. I won this. I made a mistake. I know better....etc. After all you are 007 right? plus TRADEKING right? :rolleyes:
 
do not complicate things
trading is easy as abc...DT DB LH HL

Hardly a challenge

but some like Brooks, Hansen Raschke make it one

though brooks does simplify some things and generalise others quite correctly.. he has many good ideas.......but for most of markets the above alphabets are all, that is needed.

easy money...wonder why i ever lost it

If it were that easy, then you should easily be able to write an algorithm that will yield great % return.
 
Back
Top