Prechter's initial predictions were uncannily accurate. Early in the 1980s, he predicted a major bull market with the Dow expected to rise to the 3,600 level, after an interim stop at 2,700. Just when Granville's predictions were shown to be flatout wrong, Prechter was the golden knight of the day by keeping his followers fully invested through October of 1987.
Tarnish set in after October 1987. To Prechter's credit, he did say that there was "a 50/50 risk of a 10% decline" in the market on October 5, 1987, when the Dow was still selling above the 2,600 level, and he advised traders and investors with a short-term outlook to sell. Institutional investors were advised, however, to hang on for the ultimate target of 3,686 in the Dow. After the crash, with the Dow near 2,000, Prechter turned bearish for the long term and recommended holding Treasury bills. He predicted that "the great bull market is probably over" and that by the early 1990s the Dow Jones industrial average would plunge below 400. By not advising repurchase, Prechter missed out on a blue-chip stock rally, which two years later pushed the Dow well above its prior peak. This was a mortal wound for a golden guru.
Quote from Martinghoul:
Very misleading title!
This isn't Reuters. It's an opinion of a technical analyst dude by the name of Prechter.
Pls be careful with this...
The actual article said "US LIKELY to lose AAA rating." But I thought its more eye catching if i took out the "likely" part. 
Yup... same guy... The reason Prechter was so 'unGodly' wrong for so long was that the FED has never stopped bailing out the financial markets and the economy since the S&L crisis in the late 80's to early nineties... on to LCTM, Dot Com... etc... etc... they kept moving the ultimate disaster down the road and down the road... well here we are... and there is no more road...Quote from gbos:
Prechter's initial predictions were uncannily accurate. Early in the 1980s, he predicted a major bull market with the Dow expected to rise to the 3,600 level, after an interim stop at 2,700. Just when Granville's predictions were shown to be flatout wrong, Prechter was the golden knight of the day by keeping his followers fully invested through October of 1987.
Tarnish set in after October 1987. To Prechter's credit, he did say that there was "a 50/50 risk of a 10% decline" in the market on October 5, 1987, when the Dow was still selling above the 2,600 level, and he advised traders and investors with a short-term outlook to sell. Institutional investors were advised, however, to hang on for the ultimate target of 3,686 in the Dow. After the crash, with the Dow near 2,000, Prechter turned bearish for the long term and recommended holding Treasury bills. He predicted that "the great bull market is probably over" and that by the early 1990s the Dow Jones industrial average would plunge below 400. By not advising repurchase, Prechter missed out on a blue-chip stock rally, which two years later pushed the Dow well above its prior peak. This was a mortal wound for a golden guru.
Same guy?
Quote from peilthetraveler:
Sorry...I just love striking fear into the hearts of traders so i couldnt resistThe actual article said "US LIKELY to lose AAA rating." But I thought its more eye catching if i took out the "likely" part.
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