I respectfully disagree with some of the earlier posts here. While it is true that one needs to have an edge (positive expectancy like a casino), it seems that lot of people tend to focus on profits and strategies while neglecting psychology. It’s like trying to build the best Formula One race car in attempt to win world championship and while neglecting to learn how to drive it.
To be consistently profitable trader, it requires knowledge, experience and beliefs of the individual that execute them. Most of us underestimate our own biases, overstate our own objectivity, and confidently believe we have finally learned from our mistakes and won't be making any more.
For those who agree that psychology is essential, I’ll share below some notes from MarK douglas, It will resonate with the better traders on this forum, and at the same time I’m sure that there will be people who will disagree. (sorry about my typos, English is my 2nd language and I have chronic pain and am currently on strong pain killers that make my mind foggy)
Trading can be distilled down to four general skillsets, that you have to acquire to be consistently succeeded trader:
1) Learning to identify an edge.
This is the easiest part, and therefore the easiest part people gravitate towards, as can be seen over and over again on this forum.
2) Learning how to think in markets perspectives or learning how to think in market probabilities.
This is the most important skillset. There are people who have degrees in probabilities, yet they cannot think in probabilities. Once you start thinkg in probabilities, you'll stop making that kind of errors that will detract from your ability to be consistent.
Once you start thinking in probabilities, it won't even occur to you that you won't predefine your risk, not to cut your losses, to even hesitate when your edge shows up in the market, to jump the gun, not to take profits or have systematic way of taking profits, these things won't happen when you have effectively integrated into your mindset this ability to think in probabilities, it is completely inconsistent to do these things with this thinking methodology. This mindset won't let you to behave that way.
3) Learning to identify and neutralize self sabotaging beliefs.
The problem is that the market represents unlimited opportunities to enrich ourselves, but that doesn't mean that the kind of things we have accumulated throughout our lives that exist in our mental environment are in complete harmony and desire to create a consistent results and tap into that unlimited ability to enrich ourselves. Everything that we've learned can argue against riches or increased prosperity. It can be things we're conscious of, and many cases it can be unconscious beliefs. Just because we're not conscious of something we've learned at some point in our lives, it doesn't mean that it's not operational.
This area is one that can take a bit of time to master, you don't have tear apart your personality to become a consistently successful trader, but if you choose not to go through that process then you're going have to adapt a trading regiment that compensate for it.
4) Euphoria.
It is a riskless state of mind, a state of mind in which we have no ability to perceive risk. It is virtually impossible to set limitations on your behavior. There is a threshold between confidence and euphoria. You have to develop a trading regiment that compensates for this, meaning you have to be able to recognise when you have flipped into a state of euphoria and then be able to stop trading. If you put on a larger size than your money management allows, the amount of distance the market has to move against you to flip from euphoria into complete mind freeze is just very tiny. You go from heaven to hell in one instance by just having the market move few ticks against you, and the problem is that it can create enormous psychological amount of damage that is very difficult to recover from.
To be consistently profitable trader, it requires knowledge, experience and beliefs of the individual that execute them. Most of us underestimate our own biases, overstate our own objectivity, and confidently believe we have finally learned from our mistakes and won't be making any more.
For those who agree that psychology is essential, I’ll share below some notes from MarK douglas, It will resonate with the better traders on this forum, and at the same time I’m sure that there will be people who will disagree. (sorry about my typos, English is my 2nd language and I have chronic pain and am currently on strong pain killers that make my mind foggy)
Trading can be distilled down to four general skillsets, that you have to acquire to be consistently succeeded trader:
1) Learning to identify an edge.
This is the easiest part, and therefore the easiest part people gravitate towards, as can be seen over and over again on this forum.
2) Learning how to think in markets perspectives or learning how to think in market probabilities.
This is the most important skillset. There are people who have degrees in probabilities, yet they cannot think in probabilities. Once you start thinkg in probabilities, you'll stop making that kind of errors that will detract from your ability to be consistent.
Once you start thinking in probabilities, it won't even occur to you that you won't predefine your risk, not to cut your losses, to even hesitate when your edge shows up in the market, to jump the gun, not to take profits or have systematic way of taking profits, these things won't happen when you have effectively integrated into your mindset this ability to think in probabilities, it is completely inconsistent to do these things with this thinking methodology. This mindset won't let you to behave that way.
3) Learning to identify and neutralize self sabotaging beliefs.
The problem is that the market represents unlimited opportunities to enrich ourselves, but that doesn't mean that the kind of things we have accumulated throughout our lives that exist in our mental environment are in complete harmony and desire to create a consistent results and tap into that unlimited ability to enrich ourselves. Everything that we've learned can argue against riches or increased prosperity. It can be things we're conscious of, and many cases it can be unconscious beliefs. Just because we're not conscious of something we've learned at some point in our lives, it doesn't mean that it's not operational.
This area is one that can take a bit of time to master, you don't have tear apart your personality to become a consistently successful trader, but if you choose not to go through that process then you're going have to adapt a trading regiment that compensate for it.
4) Euphoria.
It is a riskless state of mind, a state of mind in which we have no ability to perceive risk. It is virtually impossible to set limitations on your behavior. There is a threshold between confidence and euphoria. You have to develop a trading regiment that compensates for this, meaning you have to be able to recognise when you have flipped into a state of euphoria and then be able to stop trading. If you put on a larger size than your money management allows, the amount of distance the market has to move against you to flip from euphoria into complete mind freeze is just very tiny. You go from heaven to hell in one instance by just having the market move few ticks against you, and the problem is that it can create enormous psychological amount of damage that is very difficult to recover from.
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