Very true.Moving your stop will work a large % of the time if you are in a range bound market and your moving the stop to slightly outside the range if it was inside the range before.The problem arises when the breakout was real and the market trends ..then you lose big.It sounds to me like this 84% win rate is only because he keeps moving his stop loss. If it wasn't for the big selloff, the market might have reversed and he might have gotten out BE or with a profit, thereby reinforcing this action.
The question to ask is what would his win rate be if he always kept to his 4 point stop. Perhaps the win rate drops drastically. We all know that a 90% win rate of 1 point with a 10% chance of a 10 point stop out is not profitable. Something similar might be going on here.
Very true.Moving your stop will work a large % of the time if you are in a range bound market and your moving the stop to slightly outside the range if it was inside the range before.The problem arises when the breakout was real and the market trends ..then you lose big.
2/5/18 ES HOD 2771,LOD 2616.26,OPEN 2758.75,CLOSE 2682.00What is the largest one day drop or rise in the ES over the last "period of long time"?
ES
2/5/18 ES HOD 2771,LOD 2616.26,OPEN 2758.75,CLOSE 2682.00
I didn't go back further.
What do traders do to mentally prevent themselves from making this mistake of moving their stop loss order? Any advice would be appreciated.