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Republicans Now Lead Democrats By 10Pts. On Generic Congressional Ballot.
- Thread starter rc8222
- Start date
Gallup has dems up by 4 two weeks in a row
http://www.gallup.com/poll/141557/Democrats-Maintain-Advantage-Generic-Ballot.aspx
http://www.gallup.com/poll/141557/Democrats-Maintain-Advantage-Generic-Ballot.aspx
I think whoever wins in 2010 loses in 2012 and vice versa
Quote from rc8222:
Rasmussen is much more independent and reliable. Check the history of the two. Gallup also had a poll a while back showing the majority of America supporting Obamacare. lol So their credibility automatically goes down the shitter. lol
The Center For Public Integrity has pointed out that Scott Rasmussen was a paid consultant for the 2004 George W. Bush campaign.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports#Criticism
Quote from rc8222:
Rasmussen is much more independent and reliable. Check the history of the two. Gallup also had a poll a while back showing the majority of America supporting Obamacare. lol So their credibility automatically goes down the shitter. lol
Rasmussen polls always seems to have republicans winning by bigger margins then most other polls
Other polls besides gallup showed the majority supporting Obamacare
So what?
Quote from hermit:
The Center For Public Integrity has pointed out that Scott Rasmussen was a paid consultant for the 2004 George W. Bush campaign.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports#Criticism
Quote from HelloDollar:
So what?
Use of Likely Voter Model Does Not Explain Rasmussen "House Effect"
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/04/use-of-likely-voter-model-does-not.html
But what does that have to do with Rassmussen working for the Bush campaign? And I'd remind you, Bush won that election.
Rassmussen is obviously weighing heavy on likely low turnout among registered Democrats. His, is a likely scenario. I've no doubt that if a "national poll" of everyone in the country were taken, Democrat's would have a slight 2-5% lead. But it'll play differently because of disillusioned Dem's staying home. I watched 16 years of Chicago elections, as an official. Heavy, Democrat area. But the drop off from Presidential years was always staggering and Obama has flat out lost most of his independent base. The Dem's have too big a Congressional advantage to lose it in all in one shot but it'll definitely put them on the hot seat in 2012.
Rassmussen is obviously weighing heavy on likely low turnout among registered Democrats. His, is a likely scenario. I've no doubt that if a "national poll" of everyone in the country were taken, Democrat's would have a slight 2-5% lead. But it'll play differently because of disillusioned Dem's staying home. I watched 16 years of Chicago elections, as an official. Heavy, Democrat area. But the drop off from Presidential years was always staggering and Obama has flat out lost most of his independent base. The Dem's have too big a Congressional advantage to lose it in all in one shot but it'll definitely put them on the hot seat in 2012.
Quote from hermit:
Use of Likely Voter Model Does Not Explain Rasmussen "House Effect"
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/04/use-of-likely-voter-model-does-not.html
Quote from hermit:
Use of Likely Voter Model Does Not Explain Rasmussen "House Effect"
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/04/use-of-likely-voter-model-does-not.html
Since we're on the topic of integrity and all...Hermit, how come you ran away from my question on your Gallup poll thread a while back?