Quote from Hydroblunt:
I think making a million being short in less than a year in 1906 is a much bigger accomplishment than being a perpetual bull and having the market on your side. Darvas would have been nowhere with his inital stake if he started out during a stagnant bear market and we would have never ever heard of him unless we were professional dance enthusiasts. Let's even say that after a few successful "trades" Darvas quit his dancing right into a 5 bear market. How and how long would he have survived? Remember, he cannot act during a bear market. He had a stake he could afford to lose and that he never needed to touch. Quite different from a trader that takes out cash for living expenses.
I don't think comparing him to one of the greatest stock market "operators" of all time adds much. The fact is he made a huge sum of money. Just because he didn't make the "most ever" is hardly a slight.
Darvas had lost money, quite a lot of it. He didn't just become successful from day one, you know. Darvas had the mighty bull market of '54 pass him right by, during which he still managed to lose money. And once he got better, he managed to sit out the bear decline of '57. That was a pretty wise "action", if you ask me. Yeah, he did clean up in the big bull market of '58, but by then he had a way of looking at the market that allowed him to capitalize on the bullishness. To pretend that it was only luck is ridiculous.
Even in the raging bullmarket of the late 90s, the averages only went up 30% or so a year. Whilst that's a huge return, it doesn't transform $36,000 into more than $2MM in two years. Darvas knew what he was doing and done it well. The fact that his strategy made him sit out bear markets in no way takes away from that. Hell, it's probably a smart move: they say even bears don't make money in a bear market. (And having a long only strategy doesn't make one a "perpetual bull", that myth is "perpetual bullshit".)
They can't wait for a bull market and just concentrate on professional dancing during bear markets. That's for investors.
Buddy, nobody forced you to trade for a living. If you're finding the going tough (I know, I know, you conistently take money out of the markets, bravo), who's to blame but yourself? Who's to blame but yourself if you can't find a "decent job"? You talk about Livermore yet ignore one of his post important lessons, that of the "Wall St Sucker" who has to trade every day. Biding your time while waiting for the right conditions isn't just for "investors" (and if you're calling Darvas an investor, you obviously haven't read his book), in fact it's not really for "investors" at all. Modern day investment strategy is built around LTBH, which disregards conditions.
For all the prop firm hacks, there 10 times the mom & pop investors that already lost all their life savings and will do so every single cycle.
This disdain for investment is somewhat hard to understand. Do you really think that people following modern investment strategy "lost all their life savings"? (Where was the Dow in Mar 2000, where is it now?) Or were those people doing something else?
In the end, everyone has their ideas on what successful trading is and how to achieve it, but shooting down someone else's success because it doesn't fit (or challenges) your own pre-existing requirements is downright silly.