Quote from Charly:
signal >6B
Did you eyplain your kind of signals somwehere and I overread it?
Thanks
Charly [/B][/QUOTE]
Hello Charly,
Thanks for the question and I should have put my ideas out there sooner
I haven't actually explained the signals in detail but I am willing to give a general idea.
After reading many books and especially Tom DeMarks books I became convinced of a few things about trading.
1. Most people try to find a trend and trade it. Along with that most people lose money in the markets
2. Most market makers / specialists fade the public / professionals. Along with that most MMs / specialists make huge amounts of money
3. when you enter a trade by following a trend you normally give up the spread as well as take away liquidity. This causes you to be at a loss from the start and causes you to pay a higher commission (ECN pass throughs )
4. By fading you can actually collect the spread (usually very small but over the course of a year or more will add up) and you can lower your cost of trades if you use IB or someone that gives you ECN passthoughs( I have used before and will be changing over in about a week from TS to IB for my primary broker)
so what i try to do is find overbought or oversold situations and then 'fade' the stock. I use software that scans the market with alogoritoms that I have worked on for the last year or so. When they started working consistently I thought I would make a journal to improve my results by looking for patterns.
I prefer shorting more than going long so my first push was for overbought signals and now i started working on oversold. I will need to test them for a while before you see very many trades that are long.