Observations and Trade Profile Updates:
A bit more of a draw down than I normally like to see, but well within system specifications thus far. US Markets now opening and will take the lead from here on out and either break the European session high or low. The initiation of the First Day Trade against the Second Day Trade and Swing profiles, is whatâs causing the traffic jam at the moment. I would have liked to have seen more price action at or above the open slightly, but realizing that the First Day Trade is in opposition to the Second and Swing, I do understand the âlagâ effect.
As I type at 8:32am Eastern, there is a slight break above the EU session high. This will need to be sustained for a while, if both profiles (First and Second) for this session have a chance to work in harmony/synergy. So, at this point, its all an academic waiting game for me.
The Swing Trade has slightly increased its absolute value pip gain for the week with this session as well to 110 pips (absolute unrealized) for the week. Everything on par thus far for the week with the exception of this lagging First Day Trade for 3/21/06 to 3/22/06, but the very high Swing Trade Probability numbers sheds light on that for me as it is still running in the high 96+% range which is unusually high for a Wednesday, but I have seen higher. Typically, the Swing Trade Probability numbers start to taper down as the week progresses â this time they are tapering up slowly. It is very nice to see for the Swing Trade profile, but not when Iâm in a First Day Trade opposition trade against it. Sort of a two edged sword, but well see whether or not this gets thrown into Recovery Mode to Break-Even, or whether or not the profiles can find a smooth synergy.
There is just about 10+ hours remaining in the trading session, so there plenty of time for the First Day Trade Limit to synergize with the Second Day Trade Entry. If there are any adjustments made by the system on these two price points, Iâll try to be around later today to post them as they develop. If not, Iâll post them when I have the time.
Current real-time draw down = 18 pips. Maximum allowable draw down = 50 pips. Current system Average draw down = 28 pips. Absolute Max draw down this session = 42 pips. A bit too close for my liking, but then again Iâm so used to seeing much smaller draw downs that I tend to get little concerned whenever they get larger than the system Average.
24hrs - From 3/21/06 to 3/22/06:
First Day Trade
Long
Entry 2107
Limit 2122
Stop None (might enter manual stop later)
Active
24hrs - From 3/21/06 to 3/22/06:
Second Day Trade
Short
Entry 2123
Limit 2061
Stop 2166
Pending
120hrs â From 3/19/06 to 3/24/06:
Swing
Short
Entry 2175
Limit 1967
Stop 2185
Active
480hrs â From 3/1/06 to 3/30/06:
Position
Long
Entry 1931
Limit 2378
Stop 1856
Closed (already closed for 254 pips at 2185)