The markets are designed around a 92% probability of loss 92% of the time, making a successful trade or investment the intersection of time and price at 8% of 8% or 0.64%, it's the number no one dare mention anywhere, with profits rapid decaying toward the 8% breakeven point.
The probability of you making a profit one way and making it the other way is very low given you need to wait 99.36% of the time to find a profitable trade (or at least my definition of profitable), sometimes it happens but you need algos to time the inversion which no one here will have.
This week profits are harder to come by as the markets are gearing up, guarding capital at the moment is a fight while still having exposure, there is a lot of 100% inversion happening on insignificant market news causing a lot of people to be whipsawed out of positions at significant loss, interesting times.
Amen on the last couple weeks, I've really been getting whipsawed to death! But it's forced a couple epiphanies I needed to have about what was still wrong with my system, so at least I think I got some value for the losses.
Curious where you're getting these very precise statistics from. 92%? 99.36%?
