Fed is a 500 stock watcher. It looked like they were pissed the FOMC statement was interpreted dovish with a Wed-Fri risk/inflation reaction . The following Monday the odds spiked from 35 BEFORE the jawboning began Tuesday. Animal spirit fears in 500 stocks outweigh PHD level theorems and models. 3 weeks later 500 stocks can hardly drop half of 1 percent in a week and the last 2 weeks saw steepening! In the 2-10 year segment, along with the entire curve rising. short term I think themarket says Phhft! and carries on. Maybe look to EM for stress.
On a longer timeframe, with hindsight, 3 month LIBOR, USD tightness/borrowing cost has trended steadily , 20-90 bp. Since fed tightening bias started.
You c an bet fed will get caught in a severe stock downturn smack dab in the middle of a tightening cycle, not recognizing being so far behind the curve is the reason stocks are correcting. When?