Rasmussen: Generic Republican 46%, Obama 42%!!!

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from rc8222:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...lot/election_2012_generic_presidential_ballot




Election 2012: Generic Presidential Ballot
Generic Republican Candidate 46%, Obama 42%
Tuesday, June 28, 2011



A generic Republican candidate now holds a four-point lead over President Obama in a hypothetical 2012 election matchup. It's a fifth week in a row that the GOP candidate has been ahead and the widest gap between the candidates to date.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds a generic Republican candidate earns support from 46% of Likely U.S. Voters, while the president picks up 42% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Last week, the Republican held a 45% to 43% advantage. In weekly surveys since the beginning of May, support for Obama has ranged from 42% to 45%, while the Republican has earned 43% to 46% of the vote. Rasmussen Reports will provide new data on this generic matchup each week until the field of prospective Republican nominees narrows to a few serious contenders.

Republicans also hold a seven-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, June 26. Republicans have led on this ballot every week since June 2009.

When polls show an ACTUAL republican beating Obama you might be on to something

 

[bone]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

When polls show an ACTUAL republican beating Obama you might be on to something

Ummm... The majority of folks read that in a different vein - anybody but Obama.

The consistent and incredibly broad trend in terms of polling and economic data from any number of public and private sources has been compelling to the point where 'you know who' dumped the Strategic Oil Reserve for purely political reasons.

 

[Gabfly1]

Quote from bone:

Ummm... The majority of folks read that in a different vein - anybody but Obama...

Then why not place your bet with Intrade now? If you believe this Rasmussen guy and his polls, then put your money where your mouth is.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from bone:

Ummm... The majority of folks read that in a different vein - anybody but Obama.

Sorry to break it to you but thats not what polls say when its an actual republican and not some flawless imaginary candidate


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html

 

[seneca_roman]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Sorry to break it to you but thats not what polls say when its an actual republican and not some flawless imaginary candidate


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html

{SNIP}
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Shit, you use data.

 

[JamesL]

Quote from bone:

"We compared polls produced by major television networks with those produced by Gallup and Rasmussen. We found that, taken as a whole, polls produced by the networks were significantly to the left of those produced by Gallup and Rasmussen."

abstract exerpt:

Evidence of Systematic Bias in 2008 Presidential Polling
(preliminary report)
Leonard Adleman
Department of Computer Science
University of Southern California
Mark Schilling
Department of Mathematics
California State University, Northridge

http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelma...Systematic Bias in 2008 Presidential Polling (1).pdf

dead link

 

[Maverick74]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Sorry to break it to you but thats not what polls say when its an actual republican and not some flawless imaginary candidate


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html

I thought you said Ron Paul would beat Obama? Your data doesn't show that. I'm confused Range Rover.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from Maverick74:

I thought you said Ron Paul would beat Obama?

You thought wrong because I dont recall ever saying that

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from Maverick74:

I'm confused

As always

 

[Maverick74]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

As always

So is the poll wrong? You told me Paul would beat Obama.