The problem with fundamentals is that you can be 100% correct about the direction of the market and STILL lose your shirt.
I think you’re confusing fundamentals with position sizing.
The problem with fundamentals is that you can be 100% correct about the direction of the market and STILL lose your shirt.
Ya, I take it all back. Forget stupid fundamentals, pure waste of time and energy.
How could I have been so stupid, I'm talking bs.
Guys, trade the price only, maybe spend the time studying TA & Indicators.
I'm on the other side of your trade and love losing.![]()
True, price doesn't factor in all that is known. But price factors in all that is known to the traders that cause the price.
If something is not factored in to the price, then it had nothing to do with causing the price to exist where it did. So, it is not relevant.
When and if it becomes known (sudden news, for example), it too will be factored in (gaps).
Using the dotcom bubble again: Based on the fundamentals, the bubble should have never happened. Many smart fundamental traders went short, and lost their shirts. Many less smart traders, made a killing.
Those ignorant traders we referred to previously, mattered more than the fundamentals. And your only clue as to what those traders are doing, is the chart--not the fundamentals.
There is nothing "artistic" about backtesting..
I trade hundreds of stocks, if I didn't factor in some fundamentals I think I would be wearing way more losers, way more.
Funny's help you play a bit more safer.
It wasn't a trap to those that got it right.
Trading price, using price, can't be wrong. Trading price, using something that you think is controlling price, could be.
Today I would avoid copper stocks and gravitate toward traditional banks as a bias.