Rally, and rest of week

Quote from trader56:

Are you still long this postion?

Hindsight is always 20/20, but take a look at the 10 min chart. Price gaps down hard when much of the market (SPY, INDU, etc) did not - warning number one. Then there's a weak rally going into 11AM EST on dropping volume - warning number two. Then you get a spurt up price to the bottom side of yesterday's afternoon consolidation on a volume pick-up - but the next bar is down, also on higher volume. If this new high for the day was actually buying why would the next bar be down?

Next, price drifts down on lower volume, so maybe it's just a pullback. Unfortunately, at 11:30, there's a nasty break on increased volume; the indicies have been moving up.

Finally, you get a very weak (2nd for the day) rally on dropping volume after a break, with weak closes on the bars. What do the probabilities suggest? Down.

Again, it's easy to go look at something and call the shots after the fact, but there was time and opportunity to get out of this today, so hope you're not still long. Where will the late-day rally go? Not even stockturk3y konws!

It's a 2x short ETF, so it moves opposite the market. I made money on it Monday and should have sold it at the close. This morning I was just struck by the loss and didn't take action, thinking it would eventually come back, and I let it get worse. I did get out of it and buy some longs, but very late after taking a big loss. I'm new to this and not embarassed to admit I don't know much and am learning by doing it.
 
Quote from mister_doodi:

How sad Stock trader made an another account to praise himself.

No, pretty sure Option Trad3r is poking fun. That IP shows somewhere far from where Stock Trad3r posts - and incidently he (ST) posts from a community college.
 
I like how they say that the fundamentals of the US hasn't changed. The giving away of billions of dollars is a pretty big change that they have never done before.
 
10/29 up
10/30 down
10/31 up small to flat
11/3 capitulation dump down

rallies are for selling just remember that but if you are nimble short rallies are worth trading
 
Quote from legend4life:

It's a 2x short ETF, so it moves opposite the market. I made money on it Monday and should have sold it at the close. This morning I was just struck by the loss and didn't take action, thinking it would eventually come back, and I let it get worse. I did get out of it and buy some longs, but very late after taking a big loss. I'm new to this and not embarassed to admit I don't know much and am learning by doing it.

Not at all trying to give you a hard time, and I'm wrong in my analysis as much as the next guy. One of the differences is that I don't try to predict the future as seems SO popular here on ET.

Just pointing out some things from my perspective, and again, it's always so easy to go back and see it all in hindsight. And yep, I know it's a short fund and moves opposite the market. That doesn't change the price/volume analysis, though.

Keep at it, trade small, and you'll get it.
 
THAT"S FREAKIN HILARIOUS!

My analysis of the guy pegged him as some community college drop out. I nailed the profile!


Quote from Ivanovich:

No, pretty sure Option Trad3r is poking fun. That IP shows somewhere far from where Stock Trad3r posts - and incidently he (ST) posts from a community college.
 
Quote from legend4life:

It's a 2x short ETF, so it moves opposite the market. I made money on it Monday and should have sold it at the close. This morning I was just struck by the loss and didn't take action, thinking it would eventually come back, and I let it get worse. I did get out of it and buy some longs, but very late after taking a big loss. I'm new to this and not embarassed to admit I don't know much and am learning by doing it.

My advice would be to use the unleveraged one. You may want to avoid leverage for now - and just go for small moves. Shorting on that monday was fine but remember that the market was already low so keep that in mind when holding overnight for the swing. You may want to take your profits faster.
 
Quote from Ivanovich:

No, pretty sure Option Trad3r is poking fun. That IP shows somewhere far from where Stock Trad3r posts - and incidently he (ST) posts from a community college.

Ivanovich, you should not reveal personal info.
 
Quote from Ivanovich:

No, pretty sure Option Trad3r is poking fun. That IP shows somewhere far from where Stock Trad3r posts - and incidently he (ST) posts from a community college.

A kid in community college - Ivan, that's fucking perfect!

My prediction to Bear about who this kid really is seems to be much more accurate than stock_turk3y's market analysis, LOL!

Think he'll disappear quitely now? My guess is, sadly, no.
 
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