Quote from trendtrader2005:
Exits are at 50/75 cross. Yes stock could be 30% off highs, you never sell the top in trend following. In a bear market, you would short the worst fundamental stocks in the weakest sectors, based on overall market condition and 50/75 cross.
I think the real question was: what about trendless periods? The market does not trend strongly the majority of the time. Take some daily or weekly data and analyze the last 30 years before you mortgage your house and bet the money on a 50/75 MA crossover. If you are validating your idea by only looking at the data since 2002, it is insufficient and you will not be prepared to face all market environments.
Also, what you are talking about sounds a bit more like long-term trading, borderline with investing. You may be able to pool your money with some other people and share the risks instead of borrowing and taking all of the risks. Of course you won't make as much money if your approach works but you also won't lose as much if it fails.
Good luck!
