Question on Option Buying

Quote from dagnyt:

Nonsense.

If you buy lower strikes, you would be better unless the stock runs to 50.

The 20s would be worth at least $2,000 apiece if the stock is 40.

The 40's could be near worthless if very little time remains, or may be worth a buck or two.

And how about all those times when he is sliglty wrong in his prediction? Surely expecting a move from 8 to 40 is not a scientific projection. What if the stock merely doubles? Why lose 100% of your investment by owning 40's when the purchase of cheap calls: perhaps 15s or 12.5s would yield nice profits?

If you really believe buying 40s is the way to go, you are sorely in need of an options education.

Mark
http://blog.mdwoptions.com/options_for_rookies/

ok I did not read the OGs "What would be optimum strike to buy to maximize profit and minimize loss if possible ?"

but I still think to maximize profit the 40s are the way to go. The 'what ifs' you stated were to minimize loss.

If that's not the case can you walk me through an example where buying as many OTM options as possible yields less profit than buying closer to ATMs given you're not running up to expiration.
 
There's not really a standard answer for this, as it will depend on the price at which you can acquire varying amounts of different strike calls.

The safest play would be to buy one $5 strike for about $500. If the stock goes to $9, your option would be worth about $400. If the stock goes to $40, your option would be worth about $3500.

For most similarly-priced stocks, the differences in price between a $20 strike and $30 strike are likely to be small in terms of actual dollars. Hence, commission costs will have to be factored in order to determine the optimal use of $500.

You may be able to buy 50 20's for about the same net cost as buying 75 30's, yet you would make more with the 20's if the stock closes at $40 on expiration day ($10,000 vs. $7,500, both approx). Also, the 20's have a better chance of being worth something should the stock only do about half as well as you predicted.

I will occasionally swing for a homerun like this with a small amount of money such as you have indicated, $500. Very rarely has it worked out (though not never!)

FWIW, I'd probably buy something like a $12 strike 2 months out, and be watching for an opportunity to sell a current month contract OTM - perhaps a $13-$15 strike as time was winding down. Of course much would depend on the particular situation.

If the guy recommending buying $40's is still around, I'll sell him all he wants! Most likely for only $0.10!

AM.
 
Quote from Attacking Mid:



If the guy recommending buying $40's is still around, I'll sell him all he wants! Most likely for only $0.10!


i would sell it at 10 cents too. under the OPs scenario the 40 strike would be fractions of a penny.
 
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