Q's Straddle before FOMC

Quote from kalikahuna:

do you guys think it'll break the 52 wk low (36.55)?

We'll see. If it breaks support around 37 it could go down to 35 very easily.
 
Quote from 4re:

It looks to me like a 2 point move either direction would be about 60% gain and a 3 point move would be 100% gain. This can and has been done many times in a day or two after these meetings.

5% - 8% move on the QQQQ is RARE.
 
Quote from forex-forex:

5% - 8% move on the QQQQ is RARE.

On the day of meeting yes it is rare but within a couple of weeks after the meeting I have had it go for that and more.
 
Quote from 4re:

On the day of meeting yes it is rare but within a couple of weeks after the meeting I have had it go for that and more.

Original poster is interested in a 1-2 day move, not weeks. And weeks could play havoc on a July straddle.
 
Quote from Eliot Hosewater:

Yesterday I put in an order for a long ATM straddle on the OEX, and a short strangle at +/-5, just to see what happens due to the FOMC meeting. I'm also thinking of using the Turtle strategy of scaling out of the losing sides and scaling in on the winning sides.

All in TOS's PaperMoney of course.

If you have been listening to TOS, you'd not trade OEX because the pricing.
 
Quote from forex-forex:

Original poster is interested in a 1-2 day move, not weeks. And weeks can really play havoc on your option strangle.

I am the original poster. I guess I didn't make it clear though. I am using July options so I have a couple of weeks to make it work. I bought the put side of the trade when price was above 38 while they were cheaper and bought the call side today. Puts are in the money right now. Calls are kind of a hedge at this point. Will hold and see.
 
Quote from 4re:

I am the original poster. I guess I didn't make it clear though. I am using July options so I have a couple of weeks to make it work. I bought the put side of the trade when price was above 38 while they were cheaper and bought the call side today. Puts are in the money right now. Calls are kind of a hedge at this point. Will hold and see.

Essentially you legged into it which works just fine but its a directional play, rather than pure vol play. If you are right on direction and timing it will work fine.
 
Quote from Aardvark:

Essentially you legged into it which works just fine but its a directional play, rather than pure vol play. If you are right on direction and timing it will work fine.

Thanks, I do appreciate all the input everyone has given on this one.
 
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