So basically there can never be another sizeable down move in equities ever again???
Never ever even a drop like the drop of the dot com magnitude?
QQQ The March to 500
- Thread starter v-shape-0DTE
- Start date
So basically there can never be another sizeable down move in equities ever again???
Never ever even a drop like the drop of the dot com magnitude?
And that is where you are wrong, which is the reason I started my own journal.
Peeps want to see what is possible.
You have been going at this all wrong. :-|
This is how it would look if Nasdaq were to drop by the same magnitude it did back in 2000 (-72.98%). Coincidentally, we would be more or less right back to 2000 level. No biggie.
This is how it would look if Nasdaq were to drop by the same magnitude it did back in 2000 (-72.98%). Coincidentally, we would be more or less right back to 2000 level. No biggie.
View attachment 342340
That curve is not gong to happen. Freak Boy!
Ack!
I have noticed that during the pandemic drop we recouped faster than I thought we ever could. Today's markets recoup faster than ever before. I could guarantee you that if the dow dropped back to 20k and lost 50% of its value it would be back to 40k and beyond within 3 to 5 yrs
I think we are entering a market phase never seen before where there are so many people and entities invested in our markets that they just have to move high no matter what outside negative market forces there are ...
Nothing can bring down markets and if they are brought down its only temporary..
Do you actually believe markets can lose more than 40% of their value? Do you actually believe markets could hit a high and downtrend for a decade losing say 40 to 60% of their value.??
Do you think in the next 20 years the spy can ever fall back below 2500?
If the spy were to drop below 5000 the amount of fear and panic people would have, would drive the fed to cut rates immediately. Many people aren't used to a down market, so even a simple 10% drop would put the SPY back to April 2024 lows.....that would have the masses trembling......
This is how it would look if Nasdaq were to drop by the same magnitude it did back in 2000 (-72.98%). Coincidentally, we would be more or less right back to 2000 level. No biggie.
View attachment 342340
Sweet chart of the possibility of what today's market would look like if it did a 1999 drop....
But no way could a 72% happen. I could reverse that 72 and say a possible 27% is possible ...
Even the 2nd biggest bear in the entire world and universe would disagree with his prediction....this dude probably has a great reason for his prediction but the dude has been wrong his entire career
The Trouble with Harry, Dent, Robert, and Taleb-Fear Sells
December 29, 2023
https://oakharvestfg.com/stock-talk/the-trouble-with-harry-dent-robert-and-taleb-fear-sells/#gref
The Trouble with Harry, Dent, Robert, and Taleb-Fear Sells
December 29, 2023
https://oakharvestfg.com/stock-talk/the-trouble-with-harry-dent-robert-and-taleb-fear-sells/#gref
Yes, under 3 scenarios: US default, world war, and AI, especially if they spiral out of control.
True, today's market is vastly different from the past. But then again, we didn't print money back then like there is no tomorrow either. Back in the 90s, the possibility that the US could default on its debt was unthinkable. You would be frowned upon should you mention anything of that sort. Today, it's not out of the realm of possibility. Nobody would take your word as being crazy.
But I ain't saying the market will drop 70%. All I'm saying is that the market frenzy we see today is eerily similar to 1999. So better you err on the side of caution, or at least be mindful of these things and be prepared.
