PYPL

PayPal depends solely on one source for the majority of its revenues (Ebay)

I think they lost that. EBay now processes their own payments.

In my opinion, most of the run-up in stuff like W, ETSY, and SQ was driven by high speculation and central banks and governments flooding the market with money. The bubble had to pop sooner or later.
 
Well the bubble may have stopped inflating, but we are a ways off from a pop.

A pop would be giving us a 2-sigma event, which we are due. On the flip side, we may avoid this by carefully going into a very long bear market until corrected. So perhaps it's our turn for THE LOST DECADE (or two). Now you'll know what it's like to be Japan. Haw!

Whatever happens, enjoy the ride down, we are traders not investors. :sneaky:
 
What actually do these massively overpaid executives do at these companies

PayPal depends solely on one source for the majority of its revenues (Ebay)
Facebook depends solely on one source for the majority of its revenues (iPhone ads tracking)
Netflix only makes enough good content to hold viewers attention if they are completely locked down

Complete swing and a miss.

When PayPal sees the end of the rainbow they throw out "pie in the sky" trending hype like crypto and Bitcoin payment features soon coming

When Facebook sees the end of the rainbow coming they throw out complete bullsht like Meta and Metaverse

Netflix relies solely on a cartoonish fad Squid Game for its entire 2021 feature list

Is this all there is to $100 million dollar salaries and supposed tech brilliance? Depending on excess Fed market pumping and throwing out empty trending bait. And the supply chain & covid are becoming excuses for extremely poor products and services. Very surprising that Apple beat so decisively. The iPhone 13 is not much different from it predecessors. I wonder if they will continue to beat as the Fed helicopter money is stopped. Tesla being recalled almost every week. How has Elon Musk become the only savior god-like genius of the entire world. Have IQs really dropped that low?

Much of Amazon's great earnings came from the upward valuation of its Rivian investment. How is it that we have come to depending upon 5 companies for our entire Silicon Valley tech brilliance and index support? Wont this end in misery when these same 5 companies start to bleed and crumble.

The short bus comes to every neighborhood in America now. Have we really reduced everything down to trending phrases and default knowledge? I will ask this question again. Have IQs really dropped that low?

1) I am not a fan of the Tesla car (do I need lidar to find my way around the neighborhood?)
2) I don't need most of what Amazon is selling
3) No way in hell I'm spending my evenings and weekends on Facebook and Instagram
4) I don't really need another new iPhone. Probably wont need one for several years.
5) Looked through Netflix offerings over and over and still cant find anything interesting

Because:

1) I like Pickups. I just bought a nice one and probably wont need another for many years
2) I like to shop at Cabela's, Dick's, Home Depot
3) I have a real life
4) My current iPhone works just fine and I probably shouldn't spend my life looking at a phone anyway
5) Television keeps reaching new lows. I tend to find other things like YouTube, sports, travel

I have a real life. The reason I know this is because I don't know what the metaverse is. I don't ever want to know what the metaverse is. In fact, I feel kinda sorry for the people already inside the metaverse.

Best post of the week esp re FB TSLA
Lol re metaverse #epicfail

I may nibble pypl > 142

One app I'm bullish on is tiktok :D
 
Haha, yeah that trade idea did not turn out as I expected. The chart above showed decent support. It just could not hold it.

Here's some other ideas that you can fade if you want:

High Conviction
SHORT PFE / MRNA
SHORT IWF
SHORT QQQ
SHORT XRT
SHORT XLY
SHORT AXP
LONG GDX
LONG FXI
LONG INTC
LONG WDC

Weak conviction
SHORT TMUS
SHORT V and MA
SHORT INTU (Exit position at 510)
SHORT NVDA
SHORT SNAP
SHORT AMT
SHORT XLU (cover at 66.50)
SHORT ETN (Cover at 153 or 163)
SHORT ADBE (Exit position at 545 or 485, whatever comes first)
SHORT UUP (5 days too late on this, but I think it's still got room to the downside)
LONG BTCUSD
LONG XHB
LONG XOP
LONG HON
LONG KR (exit at 48)
LONG BMY (enter at 61.7)

If these turn out to be either mostly right or mostly wrong, I can keep posting.

180 was not a support.

When you posted your first post,
PYPL was taking a break / rest at 180.
Then it continued its downward journey.
 
Last edited:
180 was not a support.

When you posted your first post,
PYPL was taking a break / rest at 180.
Then it continued its downward journey.

Taking a break / resting in Nov / Dec means that support was holding up until it broke through. It was established as a support level based on price action from the previous year. 180 served as resistance back in July of 2020, broke through it later that month, held as support in September and again Oct - Nov of 2020.

upload_2022-1-6_21-44-16-png.274865
 
bot a bit o pypl, hammer on daily

View attachment 277595 View attachment 277596

Nice bounce trade. I love to grab these type for a day trade (sometimes two day) after a huge drop. Facebook is the only one I shy away from a bounce trade (I refuse to call it Meta).

btw..PayPal will be kinda hard to short in the near term cuz a couple of large hedge funds have been mass selling puts and, at the same time, floating fake buyout rumors. Same with Pelton. Fake buyout news and leaked earnings seem to be the new norm rn. Fed and SEC will keep allowing it if the rumors and fake news helps to stem the big drops in tech. I seriously doubt anyone will eventually buy these pigs. So shorting opportunity may be pretty nice in both after a few weeks.
 
Looks like its going to $100 pretty soon. Some support there from 2019. At this rate looks like it will go to $82 like it did in March 2020.

I should have kept my $150 puts instead of selling them at the open last week (2/2/22).
 
We live in a new paradigm (again).

In 2017, when your shit-penny stock (pink-sheets) company needs a boost to make up for dying earnings, you just throw in the name 'crypto' (or variant thereof) somewhere in the company title or ticker, and magically stonk goes up (for a while).

In 2000 bubble, every shit-ass losing stock rebranded themselves as a 'DOT.COM' company and again, magically stonk goes up (for a while).

2022, let's rebrand to 'Meta' this or 'metaverse' that to boost stonk and make up for shit earnings.

I got news for you, this meta-shit historically, is unlikely to end well.
 
Next time if OP says buy, we sell and vice versa.

the downforce momentum has been rather strong.
The knives are falling. and many people will catch it with their bare hands.

will it go to $100?

hmmm. something wrong with the link in my earlier posting.


from the current 120 to 100, it is on the highway with no obstacle.
 
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