taking low probability trades for high reward is a strategy used by many:taking his chances as you so tritely put it.Another trader was taking his chances to catch a reversal.
if not who is selling the low of a market?.
this is why there is always someone willing to take the other side of the transaction.
if your post was for 'information' only, then it succeeded in it's intent.and I thank you for posting it
but if it was touting or suggesting that a particular strategy was better than another.........it does not tell the whole story.